Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 10 - ROUND 14

Date: 7 January 2024, Sunday


	Ayamonte		Xerez CD

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.9	1.98
	3.76	2.94	2
	3.76	2.94	2
	3.8	3.08	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↓ (3.86)	2.97 ↑ (2.85)	1.99 ↓ (2.02)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ayamonte
24.2%

Draw
30.4%

Xerez CD
45.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

31.8%

44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.2%

31.6%

45.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ayamonte has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Xerez CD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ayamonte than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Xerez CD than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

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Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).

Ayamonte is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Xerez CD is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Xerez CD will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ayamonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ayamonte won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ayamonte CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	Ayamonte - Cabecense	1:2 ✺
16.12.23	Ceuta B - Ayamonte	0:0 ✺
02.12.23	Córdoba B - Ayamonte	3:1 ✺
26.11.23	Ayamonte - Espeleño	1:0 ✺
19.11.23	Gerena - Ayamonte	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LTLWL
- Xerez CD
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
23.12.23	Gerena - Xerez CD	1:3 ✺
17.12.23	Xerez CD - Ciudad de Lucena	1:1 ✺
03.12.23	Xerez CD - Coria CF	3:0 ✺
26.11.23	La Palma - Xerez CD	3:3 ✺
19.11.23	Xerez CD - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 10
26.02.23	Ayamonte - Xerez CD	2:2
30.10.22	Xerez CD - Ayamonte	4:0

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