The best margin for this event is 9.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Puente Genil 40.1%
Draw 27%
Utrera 32.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.3%
28.5%
32.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
30.1%
30.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Puente Genil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Utrera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Genil than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Utrera than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
Puente Genil - Utrera Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Araiza A. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Isma ⚽,
25', 3 - 0, Zaca ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 10 (Play Offs: )).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 2.
Puente Genil is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Utrera in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Puente Genil could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Puente Genil won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 9:10 (average 1.1:1.3).
Including matches at home between the teams Puente Genil won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 1.3:2).