What is the expert prediction for Azerbaijan vs Slovakia?

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Azerbaijan vs Slovakia Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Monday, October 14, 2024)

Match Info

EUROPE: UEFA Nations League - League C - Round 4

Date: 14 October 2024, Monday

Location: Tofiq Bahramov Stadium (Baku)

Referee: Saggi R. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	Optus Sport
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	CBC Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	SporTV 2
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	UEFA TV
Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	Viaplay
India	Sony LIV
Israel	Sport 2
Japan	DAZN Japan
Mexico	Sky Sport
Montenegro	Arena Premium 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	Sky Sport 9
North-central-america	Csport Caribbean
North-macedonia	Arena Premium 1
Norway	TV2 Play
Pakistan	Tapmad
Papua-new-guinea	TVWan Sports
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	STVR Sport
Slovenia	SportKlub 5
South-america	ViX Latin America
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	Exxen
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 2
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus
Vietnam	TV 360
World	Disney+, JioTV app, VIX App


	Azerbaijan		Slovakia

	1	X	2
	5.25	3.9	1.65
	5.5	3.75	1.65
	5.5	3.75	1.63
	5.82	3.85	1.67
	5.18	3.84	1.64	Watch
	5.66	4	1.7	Watch
	5.5	3.75	1.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.49 ↑ (4.4)	3.83 ↑ (3.5)	1.65 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

Watch this match and UEFA Nations League with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: FOX Soccer Plus

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Current Win Probability

Azerbaijan
17.4%

Draw
24.9%

Slovakia
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

27.1%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azerbaijan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Slovakia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Slovakia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
1.6%	3.2%	95.2%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: Slovakia will win (59 of 62 users predict this - 95.16%).
Confidence interval (95%): 89.82% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dzhenetov M. (G) SumQayit FK 21. Aliyev Q. Zira FK 13. Mammadov R. Radomiak Radom 15. Huseynov B. (C) Qarabag Agdam 5. Kryvotsiuk A. Daejeon 20. Isayev A. Qarabag Agdam 18. Nuriyev C. Zira FK 3. Cafarquliyev E. Qarabag Agdam 17. Bayramov T. Qarabag Agdam 10. Emreli M. Nurnberg 11. Sheydayev R. Neftci Baku	1. Rodak M. (G) Al Ettifaq FC 2. Pekarik P. Zilina 5. Satka L. Samsunspor 14. Skriniar M. (C) PSG 16. Hancko D. Feyenoord 8. Duda O. Verona 22. Lobotka S. Napoli 10. Benes L. Union Berlin 7. Suslov T. Verona 15. Strelec D. Slovan Bratislava 17. Haraslin L. Sparta Prague
Substitutes
16. Abdullayev V. Araz PFK 14. Ahmadzada R. Zira FK 2. Aliyev S. Turan 4. Aliyev Z. KF Egnatia 12. Bayramov A. (G) Zira FK 23. Cafarov R. (G) 9. Dadashov R. Ankaragucu 7. Diniyev C. Bandirmaspor 22. Huseynov A. Qarabag Agdam 6. Kokcu O. HJK 8. Mahmudov E. Neftci Baku 19. Nacafov K. Turan	9. Bozenik R. Boavista 20. Duris D. Zilina 6. Gyomber N. Al Kholood 21. Herc Ch. Dun. Streda 13. Hrosovsky P. Genk 3. Kozlovsky S. Widzew Lodz 23. Ravas H. (G) Cracovia 19. Rigo T. Ostrava 18. Sauer L. NAC Breda 12. Takac D. (G) Slovan Bratislava 4. Tomic M. Bodo/Glimt 11. Tupta L. Liberec
Coaches
Santos F.	Calzona F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', 0 - 1, Mammadov R. (Own goal), Hancko D. (A),
38', 1 - 1, Bayramov T. ⚽, Sheydayev R. (A),
45', Emreli M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kryvotsiuk A. ↓, Mahmudov E. ↑,
61', Aliyev Q. 🟨,
70', Emreli M. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Haraslin L. ⚽, Skriniar M. (A),
76', Isayev A. ↓, Dadashov R. ↑,
76', Sheydayev R. ↓, Ahmadzada R. ↑,
83', Haraslin L. ↓, Duris D. ↑,
83', Strelec D. ↓, Tupta L. ↑,
83', Lobotka S. ↓, Hrosovsky P. ↑,
84', Aliyev Q. ↓, Huseynov A. ↑,
86', 1 - 3, Duris D. ⚽, Tupta L. (A),
88', Nuriyev C. ↓, Abdullayev V. ↑,
90', Duda O. ↓, Rigo T. ↑,
90', Pekarik P. ↓, Tomic M. ↑,

Preview

In this match Slovak Republic is a favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Azerbaijan won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3:11 (average 0.6:2.2).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azerbaijan
UEFA Nations League
11.10.24	Estonia - Azerbaijan	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Slovakia - Azerbaijan	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Azerbaijan - Sweden	1:3 ✺
Friendly
11.06.24	Azerbaijan - Kazakhstan	3:2 ✺
07.06.24	Albania - Azerbaijan	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLLWL
- Slovakia
UEFA Nations League
11.10.24	Slovakia - Sweden	2:2 ✺
08.09.24	Slovakia - Azerbaijan	2:0 ✺
05.09.24	Estonia - Slovakia	0:1 ✺
UEFA Euro
30.06.24	England - Slovakia	2:1 ET ✺
26.06.24	Slovakia - Romania	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Nations League
08.09.24	Slovakia - Azerbaijan	2:0
22.09.22	Slovakia - Azerbaijan	1:2
10.06.22	Azerbaijan - Slovakia	0:1
UEFA Euro
19.11.19	Slovakia - Azerbaijan	2:0
11.06.19	Azerbaijan - Slovakia	1:5