Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 22

Date: 14 February 2026, Saturday


	Azuaga		Montehermoso

	1	X	2
	1.23	4.95	11
	1.23	5.11	10.38
	1.34	4.70	8.34	Watch
	1.19	5.15	14.3
	1.22	5	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.24 ↓ (1.31)	4.98 ↑ (4.5)	11.2 ↑ (9.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuaga
73.5%

Draw
18.3%

Montehermoso
8.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69.8%

20.3%

9.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

73.3%

19.3%

9.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

Montehermoso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montehermoso than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Azuaga - Montehermoso Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Azuaga is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Montehermoso is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Azuaga is the obvious favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Azuaga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1.5:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Azuaga	5	5	0	0	14:2	12	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.02.26	Villanovense - Azuaga	0:1 ✺
01.02.26	Azuaga - Cabeza del Buey	3:1 ✺
25.01.26	Llerenense - Azuaga	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Azuaga - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Azuaga - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 WWTLW
- CP Montehermoso
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
08.02.26	Montehermoso - Gévora	1:3 ✺
01.02.26	Calamonte - Montehermoso	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Jaraíz - Montehermoso	2:2 ✺
11.01.26	Montehermoso - Jerez	1:1 ✺
20.12.25	Montehermoso - Cabeza del Buey	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
04.02.24	Montehermoso - Azuaga	1:1
24.09.23	Azuaga - Montehermoso	0:0
02.04.23	Azuaga - Montehermoso	3:0
04.12.22	Montehermoso - Azuaga	2:4

Azuaga - Montehermoso: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide