Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 20

Date: 1 February 2026, Sunday


	Azuaga		Cabeza del Buey

	1	X	2
	3	2.98	2.25
	3.04	3.07	2.31
	3	2.98	2.31
	3	3.1	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 (3.01)	3.03 ↓ (3.03)	2.28 (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuaga
30.2%

Draw
30%

Cabeza del Buey
39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

29.4%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Azuaga have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Cabeza del Buey have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cabeza del Buey than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Azuaga - Cabeza del Buey Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Yaw L. J. ⚽,
26', 2 - 0, Aguado E. ⚽,
31', 3 - 0, Piochi V. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+10', 3 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).

Azuaga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Cabeza del Buey is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Azuaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Azuaga	5	5	0	0	14:2	12	15
11	Cabeza del Buey	5	1	2	2	6:6	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Azuaga
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
25.01.26	Llerenense - Azuaga	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Azuaga - Badajoz	1:2 ✺
11.01.26	Azuaga - Pueblonuevo	1:0 ✺
04.01.26	Montijo - Azuaga	2:1 ✺
19.12.25	Azuaga - Moralo	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 TLWLL
- CD Cabeza del Buey
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14
18.01.26	Calamonte - Cabeza del Buey	0:1 ✺
11.01.26	Puebla de la Calzada - Cabeza del Buey	0:0 ✺
03.01.26	Cabeza del Buey - Jaraíz	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Montehermoso - Cabeza del Buey	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Cabeza del Buey - Villanovense	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WTTWT

Azuaga - Cabeza del Buey: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide