Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 14 - Round 17Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday
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Azuaga |
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Pueblonuevo |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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1.23 |
4.95 |
11 |
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1.21 |
5.68 |
12.01 |
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1.22 |
4.8 |
12 |
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1.26 |
4.9 |
9.65 |
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1.23 |
5.33 |
10 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.23 ↓ (1.32) |
5.13 ↑ (4.7) |
10.93 ↑ (8.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
- The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Azuaga 74% | Draw 17.7% | Pueblonuevo 8.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Azuaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)Pueblonuevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Azuaga than the current prediction. (-0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pueblonuevo than the current prediction. (+2.1%)Azuaga - Pueblonuevo Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 1', 1 - 0, Vera A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 4.Azuaga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).Pueblonuevo has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1). In this match, Azuaga is the undeniable favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Azuaga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:6. (average 2.7:1).Including home matches between the teams, Azuaga won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 3.3:0.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Azuaga | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 14:2 | 12 | 15 |
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| 16 | Pueblonuevo | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 14 | | | 04.05.25 | Azuaga - Pueblonuevo | 7:1 | | 21.12.24 | Pueblonuevo - Azuaga | 3:2 | | 14.04.24 | Azuaga - Pueblonuevo | 2:1 | | 26.11.23 | Pueblonuevo - Azuaga | 0:2 | | 06.04.23 | Pueblonuevo - Azuaga | 1:2 | | 10.12.22 | Azuaga - Pueblonuevo | 1:0 |
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