Match Info

Serie D - Round 6

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Os Pioneiros (Pato Branco)


	Azuriz		Guarany de Bagé

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.25	2.85
	2.24	3.05	3.05
	2.38	3.05	2.92
	2.36	3.04	2.98	Watch
	2.35	2.96	2.98
	2.24	3.05	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2)	3.07 ↓ (3.55)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Azuriz
39.8%

Draw
29.6%

Guarany de Bagé
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.4%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.1%

24.8%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Azuriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Azuriz's form might have worsened.

Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Azuriz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Azuriz - Guarany de Bagé Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 and 7)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Azuriz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Azuriz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
03.05.25	Joinville - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Azuriz - Brasil de Pelotas	1:0 ✺
19.04.25	São Luiz - Azuriz	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LLLWW
- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Serie D
18.05.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Guarany de Bagé - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Guarany de Bagé - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:3 ✺
19.04.25	Joinville - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 TWLTL

Azuriz - Guarany de Bagé: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide