Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 1 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Doutor Hercílio Luz (Itajaí)


	Náutico Marcílio Dias		Azuriz

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.65	6.94
	1.51	3.41	7.52	Watch
	1.5	3.2	7
	1.55	3.4	6.16
	1.6	3.35	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.6)	3.4 ↑ (3.35)	6.68 ↑ (5.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Náutico Marcílio Dias
59.6%

Draw
26.8%

Azuriz
13.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

27.2%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1%

26.2%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Náutico Marcílio Dias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Azuriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 1, Giancler K. ⚽,

Preview

Marcílio Dias is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Azuriz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Azuriz may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Marcílio Dias is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marcílio Dias won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Marcílio Dias won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Blumenau - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1 ✺
02.05.26	Brasil de Pelotas - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Blumenau	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TWWWL
- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Azuriz - Blumenau	2:4 ✺
19.05.26	São-Joseense - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
03.05.26	Azuriz - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:1 ✺
26.04.26	Azuriz - São-Joseense	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
11.04.26	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1
29.06.25	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1
18.05.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	1:0
03.07.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	0:1
01.05.22	Azuriz - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:0

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