Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA CONFERENCE LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 27 July 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Gundadalur (Torshavn) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Levi S. (Isr)


	B36 Torshavn		Haverfordwest County

	1	X	2
	1.36	4.2	8	Watch
	1.37	4.4	7.5	Watch
	1.4	4.6	7
	1.36	4.75	8.5
	1.36	4.84	8.81
	1.36	4.65	9.1	Watch
	1.42	4.7	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.64)	4.59 ↑ (3.77)	8.13 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

B36 Torshavn
68.1%

Draw
20.4%

Haverfordwest County
11.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.3%

24.6%

19.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.8%

23.8%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

B36 Torshavn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in B36 Torshavn's performance.

Haverfordwest County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Haverfordwest County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for B36 Torshavn than the current prediction. (-10.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with B36 Torshavn that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Haverfordwest County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.3%	13.6%	9.1%

B36 Torshavn - Haverfordwest County Predictions

Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. B36 Torshavn will win (votes: 17 - 77.3%). Haverfordwest will win (votes: 2 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for B36 Torshavn: 59.8% – 94.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lamhauge M. (G) 22. Solheim S. 4. Jonsson I. 16. Egilsson M. 3. Benjaminsen J. 20. Johansen A. 6. Nielsen E. (C) 28. Przybylski M. 7. Nielsen B. 9. Agnarsson H. 8. Skandari T.	1. Jones Z. (G) 2. Richards J. (C) 15. Jenkins L. 20. Borg O. 7. Watts R. 8. Whitmore K. 18. Owen T. 3. Abbruzzese R. 9. Fawcett B. 10. Hawkins D. 11. Taylor-Crossdale M.
Substitutes
2. Eriksen A. 25. Eydsteinsson S. (G) 15. Giessing L. 11. Heinesen B. 12. Hellisdal M. 13. Joensen E. W. 17. Joensen M. W. 26. Jorgensen H. (G) 27. Knudsen A. 5. Nattestad S. 10. Sabala V.	31. Chesters J. (G) 21. Davies L. 24. Humphreys I. 44. John D. 14. John H. 12. Knott I. (G) 50. Owen L. 46. Shirt C. 22. Wilson J.
Coaches
Brimsvik D.	Pennock T.

Preview

1st leg.

B36 Torshavn is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Haverfordwest is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Haverfordwest could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Haverfordwest have a series of guest games.

In this match B36 Torshavn is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- B36 Torshavn
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Paide LM - B36 Torshavn	0:2 ET ✺
12.07.23	B36 Torshavn - Paide LM	0:0 ✺
Faroe Islands Premier League
01.07.23	ÍF Fuglafjørður - B36 Torshavn	0:3 ✺
25.06.23	B36 Torshavn - EB Streymur	2:1 ✺
10.06.23	HB Tórshavn - B36 Torshavn	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WTWWL
- Haverfordwest County
UEFA Europa Conference League
20.07.23	Haverfordwest County - Shkendija Tetovo	2:0 penalties ✺
13.07.23	Shkendija Tetovo - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.23	Pen-y-Bont - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
24.06.23	Larne - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	Carmarthen Town - Haverfordwest County	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 WLLLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Haverfordwest County
Welsh Cymru Premier
30.10.26	Ammanford - Haverfordwest County	✺

B36 Torshavn - Haverfordwest County