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Current Win Probability
Pen-y-Bont 39.4%
Draw 28.7%
Haverfordwest County 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
45.1%
27.2%
27.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.4%
27.4%
27.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pen-y-Bont has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pen-y-Bont's form might have worsened.
Haverfordwest County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pen-y-Bont than the current prediction. (+6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pen-y-Bont, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Haverfordwest County than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Pen y Bont - Haverfordwest County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Armstrong L. (G) 21. Baker A. 16. Borge B. 10. Cann E. 15. Clay J. 33. Cvetkovic A. 6. Davies M. 2. Ludvigsen K. 8. Pritchard O. 9. Venables C. 7. Wood N.
1. Knott I. (G) 3. Abbruzzese R. 28. Ahmun B. 10. Hawkins D. 20. Jones O. 19. Kenniford K. 17. McCarthy K. 2. Rees D. (C) 8. Shephard C. 18. Walters G. 22. Wilson J.
Substitutes
11. Daley N. 29. Green C. 18. Jones J. 24. Matthews A. (G) 17. Phillips I. 72. Villacorta J. 5. Woodiwiss J.
6. Bacon J. 23. Hughes W. 24. Humphreys I. 11. Makwiramiti P. 31. Rees L. (G) 44. Thomas H. 21. Watkins A.
Coaches
Griffiths R.
Pennock T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Venables C. ⚽, Cann E. (A),
31', Baker A. 🟨,
45+1', Cvetkovic A. ↓, Green C. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', Jones O. ↓, Hughes W. ↑,
63', Baker A. ↓, Jones J. ↑,
64', 2 - 0, Davies M. ⚽,
68', Venables C. 🟨,
80', Wilson J. ↓, Bacon J. ↑,
80', Venables C. ↓, Daley N. ↑,
85', Bacon J. 🟨,
90+3', Clay J. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 4.
Recent form of Pen-y-Bont has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Haverfordwest is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Pen-y-Bont won 13 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 29:13. (average 1.5:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Pen-y-Bont won 9 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 16:5. (average 1.5:0.5).
United-kingdom
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Armstrong L. (G) 
Cvetkovic A. 
Makwiramiti P. 
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