Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 15

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Haradski Stadium (Barysaw)


	BATE 2		Lida

	1	X	2
	5.45	4.20	1.47
	6.00	4.70	1.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.73 ↑ (5.3)	4.45 ↑ (4.1)	1.41 ↓ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 10.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE 2
15.8%

Draw
20.3%

Lida
64%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16.8%

21.7%

61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.6%

21.4%

62.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Lida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE 2 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lida than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Skopets A. (G) 22. Gavrilov M. 17. Hryvianiou Y. 10. Kuimov I. 77. Kuzmenok Y. 47. Machnach E. 44. Mardas M. (C) 14. Shakhnovich E. 68. Starikov E. 11. Titov M. 18. Yarmolich A.	25. Gremza E. (G) 10. Chernodarov A. 18. Dyatlov Z. 7. Gradoboev D. (C) 22. Gribovskiy R. 6. Katsynel M. 20. Mazurich A. 2. Poznyak A. 17. Puzach A. 15. Salygo A. 5. Tymonyuk I.
Substitutes
7. Aliyev R. 5. Apanasevich A. 6. Karpovich M. 27. Karshakevich D. 66. Kisel V. 16. Klyakin M. (G) 21. Nikalayeu Y. 4. Shcherbakov N. 45. Shreyn A. 9. Tolkach M.	27. Belov G. 19. Chernyak K. 14. Khodyko D. 1. Vasilyev A. (G) 16. Yanushko A. (G) 24. Zaytsev E. 21. Zhurnevich S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
31', 1 - 0, Titov M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
50', 1 - 1, Tymonyuk I. ⚽, Puzach A. (A),
53', 1 - 2, Mazurich A. ⚽, Chernodarov A. (A),
68', 1 - 3, Chernodarov A. ⚽, Gribovskiy R. (A),
73', 1 - 4, Dyatlov Z. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 5).

BATE 2 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lida is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Lida is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, BATE 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, BATE 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Lida	27	17	3	7	51:43	8	54
16	BATE 2	27	5	7	15	36:61	-25	22

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
04.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - BATE 2	5:0 ✺
28.06.26	BATE 2 - SKA-1938	3:4 ✺
21.06.26	Slutsk - BATE 2	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	BATE 2 - Dinamo Minsk 2	3:2 ✺
06.06.26	Ostrovets - BATE 2	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWT
- FC Lida
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
05.07.26	Lida - Uni X Labs Minsk	0:0 ✺
27.06.26	Molodechno - Lida	0:2 ✺
19.06.26	Lida - Gomel 2	2:1 ✺
13.06.26	Orsha - Lida	1:2 ✺
06.06.26	Lida - Volna Pinsk	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
12.10.25	BATE 2 - Lida	2:1
20.09.24	Lida - BATE 2	2:0

BATE 2 - Lida: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide