Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 21

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Yunost Stadium (Smorgon)


	Smorgon		Ostrovets

	1	X	2
	2.00	3.60	2.90
	2.04	3.65	2.95
	1.98	3.68	3.08	Watch
	1.81	3.90	3.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2)	3.71 ↑ (3.6)	3.03 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 10.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Smorgon
46%

Draw
24.3%

Ostrovets
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.5%

24.7%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.8%

24%

29.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Smorgon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

Ostrovets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Smorgon than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Smorgon - Ostrovets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Perov D. (G) 77. Bogdanovich I. 17. Dukso M. 5. Elagin K. 30. Fartuna B. 18. Gribovskiy R. 2. Intsoen C. (C) 78. Kovalevich V. 99. Malashenko G. 33. Poznyak A. 25. Yarotskiy Y.	82. Drozd V. (G) 11. Boychenko M. 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 10. Goncharik K. (C) 25. Gonzhurov A. 21. Kilyimanov A. 14. Mokshin I. 4. Prudnik D. 88. Yakimovich N. 7. Zaytsev I.
Substitutes
3. Autko M. 1. Azarko M. (G) 22. Galko V. 59. Kabachevskiy V. 47. Kukhley R. 52. Mychelkin E. 7. Nsangou J. 11. Sivkov I. 23. Stankevich A. 27. Tishko A.	9. Fedosenko A. 1. Frolov I. (G) 22. Kalinovskiy M. 44. Krivtsov G. 2. Merkulov D. 19. Mikhey E. 81. Skripnik G. 13. Snetkov A. 15. Statkevich T. 97. Tsyk D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', 0 - 1, Goncharik K. ⚽,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 12 and 14)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Smorgon will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Smorgon won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Smorgon won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35
12	Smorgon	27	9	6	12	33:36	-3	33

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Smorgon
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.08.26	Smorgon - BATE 2	2:0 ✺
05.08.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Smorgon	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Molodechno - Smorgon	3:0 ✺
25.07.26	Smorgon - Gomel 2	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Smorgon - Minsk	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLWL
- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
10.08.26	Minsk 2 - Ostrovets	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Ostrovets - Osipovichi	2:0 ✺
01.08.26	Ostrovets - Lida	1:3 ✺
25.07.26	Niva Dolbizno - Ostrovets	2:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
18.07.26	Ostrovets - Vitebsk	2:3 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
24.04.26	Ostrovets - Smorgon	0:0
Belarusian Cup
22.07.23	Ostrovets - Smorgon	2:0
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
29.10.22	Smorgon - Ostrovets	1:1
09.07.22	Ostrovets - Smorgon	2:3

Smorgon - Ostrovets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide