Match Info

Pershaya Liga - Round 24

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: City Stadium (Ostrovets)


	Ostrovets		Gomel 2

	1	X	2
	1.55	4.00	3.85
	1.48	4.70	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.6)	4.35 ↑ (4.15)	4.13 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 11.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ostrovets
58.3%

Draw
20.3%

Gomel 2
21.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.7%

21.5%

22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.4%

19.5%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ostrovets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Gomel 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ostrovets than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gomel 2 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
82. Drozd V. (G) 8. Davidovich A. 18. Davyskiba R. 10. Goncharik K. 22. Kalinovskiy M. 44. Krivtsov G. 4. Prudnik D. 81. Skripnik G. 97. Tsyk D. 88. Yakimovich N. 7. Zaytsev I.	88. Voropaev V. (G) 2. Bondarchuk A. 7. Drozdov M. 30. Emeljanov D. 72. Grishkov D. 14. Kabysh M. 17. Krivorot S. 3. Lipnitskiy K. 77. Mayorov N. 10. Protasenya G. 15. Rakhmatov A.
Substitutes
11. Boychenko M. 9. Fedosenko A. 1. Frolov I. (G) 25. Gonzhurov A. 17. Medvedev R. 2. Merkulov D. 19. Mikhey E. 13. Snetkov A. 15. Statkevich T. 20. Zhernosek G.	21. Kovalev I. 87. Kovalev O. (G) 33. Nanaev V. 8. Sergutko P. 20. Shapovalov R. 9. Starostenko N. 27. Tishkov E. 22. Yudenko E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Davyskiba R. ⚽, Davidovich A. (A),
30', 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
56', 🟨,
57', 🟨,
58', 🟨,
62', 🟥,
70', 1 - 1, Lipnitskiy K. ⚽,
72', 2 - 1, Fedosenko A. (Penalty Awarded),
79', 3 - 1, Davyskiba R. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16).

Ostrovets is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gomel 2 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ostrovets is a strong favorite.

We predict that Ostrovets will win today's game, with odds of 1.62.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ostrovets won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:4. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ostrovets won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Ostrovets	27	8	11	8	37:39	-2	35
17	FC Gomel 2	27	5	6	16	36:55	-19	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Ostrovets
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.09.26	Orsha - Ostrovets	2:3 ✺
29.08.26	Ostrovets - Volna Pinsk	2:0 ✺
22.08.26	Smorgon - Ostrovets	0:1 ✺
10.08.26	Minsk 2 - Ostrovets	1:2 ✺
05.08.26	Ostrovets - Osipovichi	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WWWWW
- FC Gomel 2
Belarusian Pershaya Liga
06.09.26	Gomel 2 - Slonim	2:5 ✺
29.08.26	BATE 2 - Gomel 2	2:2 ✺
15.08.26	Molodechno - Gomel 2	3:0 ✺
10.08.26	Gomel 2 - Soligorsk	3:1 ✺
06.08.26	Orsha - Gomel 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Pershaya Liga
15.05.26	Gomel 2 - Ostrovets	0:0
08.11.25	Gomel 2 - Ostrovets	2:3
04.07.25	Ostrovets - Gomel 2	1:2

Ostrovets - Gomel 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide