Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 4

Date: 19 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Borisov Arena (Barysaw)

Referee: Gorayutin S. (Blr)


	BATE Borisov		ML Vitebsk

	1	X	2
	6.2	4.05	1.44
	7	3.6	1.44
	7.63	3.97	1.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.94 ↑ (4.83)	3.87 ↑ (3.7)	1.45 ↓ (1.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE Borisov
13.2%

Draw
23.6%

ML Vitebsk
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.6%

25.5%

54.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

25.1%

55.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BATE Borisov's form might have worsened.

ML Vitebsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting ML Vitebsk's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BATE Borisov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for ML Vitebsk than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for ML Vitebsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. BATE will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). ML Vitebsk will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Sokol D. (G) 23. Rashchenya I. (C) 88. Dubovskiy P. 3. Intsoen C. 17. Kovalev A. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 10. Rusakov E. 14. Telesh M. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 29. Charles Y. 44. Mardas M.	1. Pavlyuchenko P. (G) 3. Baranok N. 20. Volkov Z. (C) 4. Abdullahi O. 45. Moskalenchik I. 27. Mesarovic A. 7. Ivanov T. 55. Gromyko V. 22. Skibskiy Y. 80. Kontsevoy A. 79. Diabate B.
Substitutes
19. Chernykh I. 11. Grivenev E. 52. Kress E. 15. Protasenya G. 33. Rakhmanov A. 5. Sakuta M. 35. Skopets A. (G) 30. Yarmolich A. 24. Yatskevich V. 42. Zhurin A.	23. Balanovich S. 15. Bocherov V. 99. Bulanov M. 25. Bykov N. 17. Galyata D. 21. Glushkov N. 6. Gomanov K. 14. Lisakovich R. 11. Nicholson S. 30. Shcherbachenya P. (G)
Coaches
Kontsevoy A.	Martinovich M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
7', Intsoen C. 🟨,
19', Mesarovic A. 🟨,
20', 0 - 1, Gromyko V. ⚽, Ivanov T. (A),
30', 1 - 1, Rusakov E. ⚽, Kovalev A. (A),
45', Rusakov E. 🟨,
45', Gromyko V. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kovalev A. ↓, Zhurin A. ↑,
47', Pavlyuchenko P. 🟨,
52', Kontsevoy A. 🟨,
53', Mardas M. 🟨,
61', Ivanov T. ↓, Glushkov N. ↑,
61', Diabate B. ↓, Nicholson S. ↑,
65', Mikhnyuk I. ↓, Kress E. ↑,
65', Telesh M. ↓, Grivenev E. ↑,
69', Mesarovic A. ↓, Lisakovich R. ↑,
72', Rusakov E. ↓, Protasenya G. ↑,
72', Mardas M. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
79', Skibskiy Y. ↓, Balanovich S. ↑,
79', Gromyko V. ↓, Bocherov V. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Bocherov V. ⚽, Glushkov N. (A),

Preview

Now, both teams are in good form.

ML Vitebsk may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, ML Vitebsk is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, BATE won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, BATE won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Outrights of Belarusian Vysshaya Liga for now

ML Vitebsk: 42.94%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42:17	25	44
14	BATE	22	3	9	10	16:27	-11	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE Borisov
Belarusian Cup
15.04.26	Slavia Mozyr - BATE Borisov	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.04.26	Vitebsk - BATE Borisov	1:0 ✺
05.04.26	BATE Borisov - Baranovichi	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Neman Grodno - BATE Borisov	0:0 ✺
Belarusian Cup
14.03.26	BATE Borisov - Torpedo-BelAZ	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27.7 WLWTW
- ML Vitebsk
Belarusian Cup
15.04.26	ML Vitebsk - Dinamo Minsk	0:2 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.04.26	Baranovichi - ML Vitebsk	0:4 ✺
04.04.26	ML Vitebsk - Isloch Minsk	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	Torpedo-BelAZ - ML Vitebsk	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
15.03.26	ML Vitebsk - Dinamo Brest	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
03.10.25	BATE Borisov - ML Vitebsk	1:0
18.05.25	ML Vitebsk - BATE Borisov	2:1

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