Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Round 23

Date: 27 September 2024, Friday

Location: Borisov Arena (Barysaw)

Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Belarus 5


	BATE Borisov		Shakhtyor Soligorsk

	1	X	2
	1.61	3.7	4.4
	1.67	3.85	4.96
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.62	4.05	5.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↓ (1.72)	3.85 ↑ (3.6)	4.93 ↓ (5.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE Borisov
57.3%

Draw
23.9%

Shakhtyor Soligorsk
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.5%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

25.9%

17.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Shakhtyor Soligorsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtyor Soligorsk than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	16.7%	0%

BATE Borisov - Shakhtyor Soligorsk Predictions

Users Predictions: BATE Borisov will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Skopets A. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M. 4. Martynov A. (C) 55. Affi Y. 14. Jimoh S. 24. Rusenchik V. 33. Sotnikov V. 28. Chernook K. 9. Anufriev A. 62. Dzhikiya T. 27. Piletskiy R.	32. Chernik S. (G) 2. Makarenko A. 80. Yankovski K. (C) 13. Burko M. 87. Martinkevich V. 77. Sotnikov N. 99. Zenkov I. 23. Kovalevich M. 88. Kovalevich D. 17. Kabyshev V. 49. Denisyuk A.
Substitutes
13. Aleksievich I. 22. Gitselev Z. 23. Ignatiev V. (G) 3. Khadarkevich R. 80. Mirskiy N. 19. Omirtaev O. 84. Osipov E. 15. Pashevich P. 18. Shvedchikov A. 68. Zhulpa D.	91. Bulanov M. 71. Grivenev E. 12. Gruzhevskiy D. 14. Lukashevich I. 35. Malashchitsky I. (G) 4. Shestilovskiy S. 22. Shulyak D. 19. Sviridenko I.
Coaches
Migal I.	Podpaliy S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Piletskiy R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Piletskiy R. ↓, Mirskiy N. ↑,
56', Yankovski K. ↓, Shestilovskiy S. ↑,
60', 0 - 1, Kovalevich D. ⚽, Makarenko A. (A),
66', Dzhikiya T. 🟨,
70', Chernook K. ↓, Gitselev Z. ↑,
70', Dzhikiya T. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
70', Rusenchik V. ↓, Aleksievich I. ↑,
70', Anufriev A. ↓, Zhulpa D. ↑,
75', Sotnikov N. 🟨,
77', Martinkevich V. ↓, Gruzhevskiy D. ↑,
85', Sotnikov N. ↓, Lukashevich I. ↑,
88', Svidinskiy M. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 1, Omirtaev O. ⚽, Affi Y. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches BATE won 3.

Recent matches BATE is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Shakhtyor Soligorsk is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match BATE is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches BATE won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 26-18.

Including matches at home between the teams BATE won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE Borisov
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
22.09.24	Isloch Minsk - BATE Borisov	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	BATE Borisov - Vitebsk	1:0 ✺
01.09.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - BATE Borisov	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	BATE Borisov - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Gomel - BATE Borisov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWTLL
- FC Shakhtyor Soligorsk
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
21.09.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Neman Grodno	0:1 ✺
13.09.24	Slutsk - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:0 ✺
31.08.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk	0:3 ✺
24.08.24	Slavia Mozyr - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:1 ✺
16.08.24	Dinamo Brest - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.05.24	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - BATE Borisov	1:3
02.12.23	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - BATE Borisov	3:0
06.07.23	BATE Borisov - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:0
28.08.22	BATE Borisov - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	0:2
16.04.22	Shakhtyor Soligorsk - BATE Borisov	0:1
Belarusian Super Cup
05.03.22	BATE Borisov - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:0
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
18.09.21	BATE Borisov - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	1:0

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