Match Info

BELARUS: Vysshaya Liga - Round 20

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadion Spartak (Mogilev)

Referee: Lashuk A. (Blr)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	YASNAe


	Dnyapro Mogilev		BATE Borisov

	1	X	2
	4.5	3.7	1.6
	5.8	4.2	1.55
	4.99	3.84	1.69	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.1 ↑ (4)	3.91 ↑ (3.74)	1.61 ↓ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dnyapro Mogilev
18.3%

Draw
23.8%

BATE Borisov
57.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.8%

25.4%

50.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

21.6%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dnyapro Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dnyapro Mogilev's form might have worsened.

BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BATE Borisov's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dnyapro Mogilev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-14.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BATE Borisov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Dnyapro Mogilev - BATE Borisov Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. BATE will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
44. Sadovskiy D. (G) 23. Dunaev A. 88. Yurkevich F. 22. Boltrushevich I. 66. Lukashov A. 37. Margiev R. 5. Dongo C. 7. Klochkov Y. 21. Vershinin G. 55. Krasnov N. 90. Feliciano	23. Ignatiev V. (G) 15. Pashevich P. 55. Affi Y. 3. Khadarkevich R. 33. Sotnikov V. 68. Zhulpa D. 27. Piletskiy R. 24. Rusenchik V. 14. Jimoh S. 18. Shvedchikov A. 62. Dzhikiya T.
Substitutes
10. Aleksandrovich A. 16. Aliseyko D. 20. Bordukov P. 54. Generalov E. (G) 77. Guilherme Brito 69. Kapov K. 11. Sobolev N. 8. Vigovsky D.	28. Chernook K. 4. Martynov A. 80. Mirskiy N. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 19. Omirtaev O. 84. Osipov E. 5. Sidibe Z. 35. Skopets A. (G) 98. Svidinskiy M.
Coaches
Gerashchenko V.	Migal I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Klochkov Y. ⚽, Krasnov N. (A),
39', Sotnikov V. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 1, Dzhikiya T. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
62', Sotnikov V. ↓, Chernook K. ↑,
62', Shvedchikov A. ↓, Mirskiy N. ↑,
68', Margiev R. ↓, Vigovsky D. ↑,
72', Mirskiy N. 🟨,
74', Yurkevich F. 🟨,
77', Krasnov N. ↓, Bordukov P. ↑,
81', Zhulpa D. ↓, Omirtaev O. ↑,
86', Khadarkevich R. ↓, Osipov E. ↑,
90+4', Affi Y. 🟨,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dnyapro won 0.

One and the other team has got a line of lost games.

Dnyapro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently BATE have a series of home games.

In this match BATE is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Dnyapro won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 7-25.

Including matches at home between the teams Dnyapro won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 2-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dnyapro Mogilev
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.08.24	Neman Grodno - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1 ✺
17.08.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Slutsk	2:3 ✺
11.08.24	Arsenal Dzyarzhynsk - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Slavia Mozyr	1:2 ✺
Belarusian Cup
28.07.24	Dnyapro Mogilev - Isloch Minsk	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- BATE Borisov
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
25.08.24	BATE Borisov - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:2 ✺
18.08.24	Gomel - BATE Borisov	2:0 ✺
10.08.24	BATE Borisov - Naftan	1:1 ✺
02.08.24	BATE Borisov - Minsk	0:1 ✺
Belarusian Cup
28.07.24	BATE Borisov - Torpedo-BelAZ	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
19.04.24	BATE Borisov - Dnyapro Mogilev	1:1
21.08.22	BATE Borisov - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:1
10.04.22	Dnyapro Mogilev - BATE Borisov	0:3
30.10.19	Dnyapro Mogilev - BATE Borisov	0:1
30.03.19	BATE Borisov - Dnyapro Mogilev	2:0
15.09.18	BATE Borisov - Dnyapro Mogilev	3:1
07.05.18	Dnyapro Mogilev - BATE Borisov	0:1

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