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Current Win Probability
Dnyapro Mogilev 42%
Draw 28.3%
BATE Borisov 29.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
49.8%
28.6%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.8%
28%
21.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Dnyapro Mogilev has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Dnyapro Mogilev's form might have worsened.
BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting BATE Borisov's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dnyapro Mogilev than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Dnyapro Mogilev, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for BATE Borisov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Dnyapro Mogilev - BATE Borisov Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
33. Sinenko A. (G) 8. Rusak S. (C) 5. Varganov A. 15. Kasarab M. 17. Potapenko A. 10. Zabelin K. 88. Kirilenko K. 89. Harutyunyan V. 11. Lisakovich D. 66. Tereshchuk N. 55. Krasnov N.
16. Sokol D. (G) 88. Dubovskiy P. 6. Moussakhanian H. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 23. Bochko N. 52. Kress E. 10. Rusakov E. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 17. Kovalev Y. (C) 37. Puerto E. 26. Varaksa V.
Substitutes
74. Cherkasov D. 29. Denisyuk A. 23. Dunaev A. 77. Gushchenko D. (G) 21. Karpitskiy E. 3. Perovic N. 27. Piletskiy R. 37. Tsepenkov K.
7. Angban V. 30. Gagloev T. 55. Kaplenko K. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 18. Kolosovskiy P. 47. Sakhonchik A. 5. Sakuta M. 35. Skopets A. (G) 21. Titov M. 24. Yatskevich V.
Coaches
Kriushenko I.
Rogozhkin V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Krasnov N. ⚽, Tereshchuk N. (A),
39', Varaksa V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Varaksa V. ⚽, Puerto E. (A),
57', Dubovskiy P. 🟨,
66', 2 - 1, Zabelin K. ⚽,
66', Tereshchuk N. ↓, Karpitskiy E. ↑,
68', Rusakov E. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
71', Kasarab M. 🟨,
74', Harutyunyan V. 🟨,
75', Krasnov N. ↓, Dunaev A. ↑,
79', Mikhnyuk I. ↓, Sakhonchik A. ↑,
79', Bochko N. ↓, Titov M. ↑,
86', Lisakovich D. ↓, Denisyuk A. ↑,
86', Kirilenko K. ↓, Piletskiy R. ↑,
Preview
A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 16th in the Relegation - Pershaya Liga and 13th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dnyapro won 0.
Both teams have struggled for positive results in recent outings.
BATE may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Dnyapro has recorded 1 win, 3 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:27 (averaging 0.6:1.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Dnyapro against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with 3:10 goals (averaging 0.4:1.4 per game).
Belarus
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Sinenko A. (G) 
Varganov A. 
Harutyunyan V. 
Moussakhanian H. 
Puerto E. 
Perovic N. 
Angban V. 
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