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Current Win Probability
BATE Borisov 35.5%
Draw 31.1%
Vitebsk 33.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
25.1%
20.1%
54.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25.2%
20.2%
54.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BATE Borisov's performance.
Vitebsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitebsk might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-10.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BATE Borisov that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitebsk than the current prediction. (+21.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitebsk could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
BATE Borisov - Vitebsk Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
35. Skopets A. (G) 23. Bochko N. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 5. Sakuta M. 25. Neskoromnyi N. (C) 52. Kress E. 55. Kaplenko K. 10. Rusakov E. 17. Kovalev Y. 24. Yatskevich V. 26. Varaksa V.
50. Goylo N. (G) 17. Novykh E. 15. Kuntsevich M. 6. Rodionov K. 22. Egorov S. 20. Krasnov E. 7. Lisovskiy R. 30. Bashilov M. (C) 10. Protasov Y. 8. Anufriev A. 86. Zgomba M.
Substitutes
7. Angban V. 88. Dubovskiy P. 30. Gagloev T. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 18. Kolosovskiy P. 37. Puerto E. 47. Sakhonchik A. 16. Sokol D. (G) 21. Titov M.
18. Anikeev V. 21. Burnos A. 11. Gurenko A. 24. Kravchenko I. 77. Minaev R. 67. Minkevich G. 1. Novichkov I. (G) 88. Pesnyak D. 23. Pulkach V. 66. Radin A.
Coaches
Rogozhkin V.
Gurenko S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Rodionov K. 🟨,
25', Sakuta M. ↓, Dubovskiy P. ↑,
44', Yatskevich V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', Anufriev A. 🟨,
63', Varaksa V. ↓, Khramtsevich Y. ↑,
63', Yatskevich V. ↓, Puerto E. ↑,
63', Kaplenko K. ↓, Angban V. ↑,
66', Krasnov E. ↓, Pesnyak D. ↑,
66', Anufriev A. ↓, Gurenko A. ↑,
66', Zgomba M. ↓, Minaev R. ↑,
76', 1 - 0, Puerto E. ⚽, Kovalev Y. (A),
80', Lisovskiy R. ↓, Burnos A. ↑,
80', Novykh E. ↓, Anikeev V. ↑,
82', Bashilov M. 🟨,
90', Puerto E. 🟨,
90+1', Kress E. ↓, Sakhonchik A. ↑,
90+3', Egorov S. 🟨,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BATE won 2.
Recent performances by BATE have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vitebsk is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Vitebsk may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Vitebsk has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, BATE won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 32:20. (average 1.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, BATE won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:11. (average 2.2:1.1).
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Skopets A. (G) 
Bochko N. 
Protasov Y. 
Zgomba M. 
Angban V. 
Puerto E. 
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