Match Info

EUROPE: EUROPA LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - SEMI-FINALS

Date: 17 August 2023, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Városi Stadion (Mezőkövesdi) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bognar T. (Hun)


	BATE Borisov		Sheriff Tiraspol

	1	X	2
	4	3.8	1.8	Watch
	3.9	3.9	1.83
	4.05	3.8	1.87
	4	3.8	1.83
	4.16	3.99	1.83
	3.8	3.6	1.7
	4.15	4.05	1.75
	4.2	4.1	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.03 ↑ (2.93)	3.88 ↑ (3.79)	1.8 ↓ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BATE Borisov
23.4%

Draw
24.3%

Sheriff Tiraspol
52.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

24.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.2%

24.2%

44.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BATE Borisov's form might have worsened.

Sheriff Tiraspol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheriff Tiraspol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BATE Borisov, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheriff Tiraspol than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheriff Tiraspol, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
2.1%	8.5%	89.4%

BATE Borisov - Sheriff Tiraspol Predictions

Users Predictions: Sheriff Tiraspol will win (42 of 47 users predict this - 89.36%).
Confidence interval (95%): 80.54% – 98.18%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
51. Dergachev V. (G) 17. Nechaev D. 3. Khadarkevich R. 5. Bane S. 14. Jimoh S. 24. Volkov S. 15. Bocherov V. (C) 18. Grechikho D. 9. Vasilevich I. 13. Shestyuk A. 80. Kontsevoy A.	35. Koval M. (C) 15. Kiki G. 4. Garananga M. 28. Artunduaga A. 16. Apostolakis K. 69. Ademo P. O. 11. Ricardinho 8. Joao Paulo 17. Ngom Mbekeli J. 90. Luvannor 10. Badolo C.
Substitutes
90. Antilevski D. 10. Gromyko V. 50. Islamovic S. 99. Kovruk M. (G) 35. Kudravets A. (G) 55. Laptev D. 44. Malkevich V. 4. Martynov A. 23. Podstrelov D.	30. Ankeye D. 31. Botan D. 3. Bueno D. 33. Pascenco S. (G) 1. Straistari V. (G) 23. Tovar C. 99. Yansane M. 20. Zohouri A.
Coaches
Alsheuski K.	Bordin R.

Preview

2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium - V

BATE is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sheriff is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sheriff could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sheriff is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches BATE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE Borisov
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - BATE Borisov	5:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.08.23	BATE Borisov - Aris	3:5 ✺
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2 ✺
18.07.23	BATE Borisov - Partizani Tirana	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Partizani Tirana - BATE Borisov	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LLLWT
- Sheriff Tiraspol
Moldovan Super Liga
13.08.23	Sparta Selemet - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - BATE Borisov	5:1 ✺
Moldovan Super Liga
06.08.23	Petrocub-Hîncești - Sheriff Tiraspol	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
02.08.23	Maccabi Haifa - Sheriff Tiraspol	4:1 ET ✺
26.07.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - Maccabi Haifa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
10.08.23	Sheriff Tiraspol - BATE Borisov	5:1

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