Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - QUALIFICATION - QUARTER-FINALS

Date: 1 August 2023, Tuesday

Location: Borisov Arena (Barysaw)

Referee: Krogh M. (Den)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports 2


	BATE Borisov		Aris

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.6	1.85	Watch
	3.7	3.7	1.95
	3.8	3.7	1.9
	3.7	3.7	1.94
	3.87	3.8	1.95
	3.6	3.3	1.85
	3.78	3.64	1.93
	3.85	3.9	1.91
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.73 ↑ (3.27)	3.67 ↑ (3.27)	1.91 ↓ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

BATE Borisov
25.2%

Draw
25.6%

Aris
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.5%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.9%

28.1%

42.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BATE Borisov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Aris has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aris's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aris than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aris, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	0%	80%

BATE Borisov - Aris Predictions

Users Predictions: Aris will win (28 of 35 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 66.75% – 93.25%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
35. Kudravets A. (G) 17. Nechaev D. 3. Khadarkevich R. 5. Bane S. 14. Jimoh S. 10. Gromyko V. 15. Bocherov V. (C) 18. Grechikho D. 55. Laptev D. 23. Podstrelov D. 80. Kontsevoy A.	1. Vana (C) 20. Yago S. 31. Brorsson F. 5. Moucketou-Moussounda A. 3. Caju 37. Szoke J. 23. Struski K. 21. Mayambela M. 14. Gomis Y. 7. Bengtsson L. 80. Babicka S.
Substitutes
90. Antilevski D. 51. Dergachev V. (G) 50. Islamovic S. 99. Kovruk M. (G) 44. Malkevich V. 4. Martynov A. 13. Shestyuk A. 9. Vasilevich I. 24. Volkov S.	8. Brown M. 78. Chrysostomou K. (G) 12. Dimitriou A. 19. Mamadou S. 66. Montnor J. 22. Nikolic V. 90. Sofroniou E. (G) 10. Spoljaric M. 11. Stepinski M. 72. Urosevic S.
Coaches
Alsheuski K.	Shpilevski A.

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-6.

BATE is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Aris is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

BATE could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aris is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches BATE won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BATE Borisov
UEFA Champions League
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2 ✺
18.07.23	BATE Borisov - Partizani Tirana	2:0 ✺
11.07.23	Partizani Tirana - BATE Borisov	1:1 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
06.07.23	BATE Borisov - Shakhtyor Soligorsk	2:0 ✺
01.07.23	Neman Grodno - BATE Borisov	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWW
- Aris Thessaloniki
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.07.23	Ararat-Armenia - Aris	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2 ✺
Club Friendly
20.07.23	Aris - Ethnikos Achna	3:1 ✺
18.07.23	Austria Wien - Aris	1:1 ✺
16.07.23	Dynamo Kyiv - Aris	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
26.07.23	Aris - BATE Borisov	6:2

Upcoming Matches