Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 17

Date: 9 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Lokomotiv Stadium (Baranovichi)


	Baranovichi		BATE Borisov

	1	X	2
	2.87	3.20	2.15
	2.88	3.52	2.24
	2.7	3.45	2.3
	3.11	3.48	2.18
	3.05	3.2	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↓ (3.38)	3.37 ↑ (3)	2.19 ↓ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baranovichi
31.2%

Draw
27.1%

BATE Borisov
41.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

27.5%

31%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

30.3%

40.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baranovichi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

BATE Borisov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Baranovichi than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BATE Borisov than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Baranovichi - BATE Borisov Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Baranovichi will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). BATE will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Shapko D. (G) 11. Ryabykh N. 19. Bruy A. 5. Fedotov V. 97. Tkachev T. 96. Potorocha V. 9. Lapun E. (C) 10. Lebedev F. 88. Gitselev Z. 34. Petrenko A. 77. Artyukh M.	35. Skopets A. (G) 17. Kovalev Y. 33. Rakhmanov A. (C) 5. Sakuta M. 25. Neskoromnyi N. 52. Kress E. 55. Kaplenko K. 37. Puerto E. 23. Bochko N. 19. Djordjevic L. 26. Varaksa V.
Substitutes
8. Balbukh V. 22. Bondarenko M. 93. Dresmanis A. (G) 33. Muzychenko K. 29. Penchuk S. 7. Pukhov T. 17. Shevchenko M. 45. Torekul E. 6. Tuzakbaev A. 23. Vasilenko V.	7. Angban V. 88. Dubovskiy P. 13. Khramtsevich Y. 28. Mikhnyuk I. 6. Moussakhanian H. 10. Rusakov E. 47. Sakhonchik A. 16. Sokol D. (G) 21. Titov M. 24. Yatskevich V.
Coaches
Kirenkin R.	Rogozhkin V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Artyukh M. ⚽, Lebedev F. (A),
33', Puerto E. ↓, Sakhonchik A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Petrenko A. ↓, Bondarenko M. ↑,
46', Djordjevic L. ↓, Yatskevich V. ↑,
46', Bochko N. ↓, Khramtsevich Y. ↑,
49', 1 - 1, Yatskevich V. ⚽,
50', Yatskevich V. 🟨,
66', Lapun E. ↓, Shevchenko M. ↑,
66', Gitselev Z. ↓, Balbukh V. ↑,
66', Potorocha V. ↓, Tuzakbaev A. ↑,
74', Sakhonchik A. ↓, Rusakov E. ↑,
74', Varaksa V. ↓, Titov M. ↑,
76', Fedotov V. 🟨,
76', Artyukh M. ↓, Torekul E. ↑,
79', Torekul E. 🟨,
87', 2 - 1, Lebedev F. ⚽, Torekul E. (A),
90+1', 2 - 2, Yatskevich V. ⚽, Sakuta M. (A),

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Pershaya Liga).

Baranovichi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

BATE's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Baranovichi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:9. (average 0.5:4.5).

Including home match between the teams, Baranovichi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:6.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Baranovici	24	6	7	11	24:41	-17	25
13	BATE	24	4	9	11	18:30	-12	21

Last Results with these Odds

BATE Borisov - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.5%, but this team recently wins 27% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baranovichi
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
01.08.26	Baranovichi - Isloch Minsk	3:4 ✺
Belarusian Cup
25.07.26	Isloch Minsk - Baranovichi	1:2 penalties ✺
18.07.26	Uni X Labs Minsk - Baranovichi	1:4 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
11.07.26	Baranovichi - Torpedo-BelAZ	1:0 ✺
05.07.26	Belshina - Baranovichi	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LWWWT
- BATE Borisov
UEFA Europa Conference League
30.07.26	Sion - BATE Borisov	4:0 ✺
23.07.26	BATE Borisov - Sion	1:1 ✺
16.07.26	BATE Borisov - AF Elbasani	1:0 penalties ✺
07.07.26	AF Elbasani - BATE Borisov	1:1 ✺
Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
02.07.26	BATE Borisov - Gomel	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 LTWTL

Latest Head to Head

Belarusian Vysshaya Liga
05.04.26	BATE Borisov - Baranovichi	3:0
Belarusian Cup
22.06.21	Baranovichi - BATE Borisov	1:6

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