Match Info

LITHUANIA: A LYGA - RELEGATION - FINAL

Date: 18 November 2023, Saturday


	BE1 NFA Kaunas		Džiugas Telšiai

	1	X	2
	8.25	4.4	1.32
	10.9	5.27	1.26
	10.9	5.27	1.26
	4.5	3.8	1.57
	10.25	5.45	1.22	Watch
	4.8	3.75	1.57
Avarage Now (Initially)	8.27 ↑ (4.3)	4.66 ↑ (3.7)	1.37 ↓ (1.64)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BE1 NFA Kaunas
11.3%

Draw
20.1%

Džiugas Telšiai
68.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.9%

24.3%

54.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.7%

23.4%

52.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BE1 NFA Kaunas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BE1 NFA Kaunas's form might have worsened.

Džiugas Telšiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Džiugas Telšiai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BE1 NFA Kaunas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Džiugas Telšiai than the current prediction. (-15.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Džiugas Telšiai, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

BE1 NFA Kaunas - Džiugas Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Kort I. (G) 17. Dedura M. 25. Jurjonas E. 20. Issah M. 15. Slendzoka D. (C) 91. Higor 27. Sluta D. 14. Zevzikovas D. 77. Vinckus D. 18. Akakpo K. J. 41. Wouter T.	94. Moschin S. (G) 62. Kulynych S. 33. Ankudinovas L. (C) 4. Mika A. 88. Krivokapic A. 18. Maicom D. 10. Aldair 51. Kubilinskas D. 8. Pereira Nuno 11. Vinicius Ribeiro 21. Ankudinov D.
Substitutes
4. Ceckauskas D. 36. Doke J. 28. Dosse S. 9. Druiventak X. 30. Mazur R. 10. Paukstys S. 98. Sinskas M. 99. Traore L. 79. Zizys M.	23. Jankauskas J. 20. Jezdimirovic M. 9. Lubas J. 1. Paukste M. (G) 13. Rapalavicius T. 7. Vasiliauskas M.

Preview

1st leg.

BE1 NFA is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Džiugas Telšiai is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Džiugas Telšiai could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Džiugas Telšiai is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches BE1 NFA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-4.

Including matches at home between the teams BE1 NFA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
08.11.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Riteriai 2	3:1 ✺
04.11.23	Transinvest - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0 ✺
31.10.23	Riteriai 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
27.10.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Jonava	4:1 ✺
21.10.23	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WLWWT
- Džiugas Telšiai
Lithuanian TOPLYGA
12.11.23	Panevėžys - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0 ✺
04.11.23	Džiugas Telšiai - FA Šiauliai	3:3 ✺
21.10.23	Džiugas Telšiai - Kauno Žalgiris	0:2 ✺
07.10.23	Sūduva Marijampolė - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0 ✺
30.09.23	Riteriai - Džiugas Telšiai	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.09.18	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Džiugas Telšiai	2:3
18.05.18	Džiugas Telšiai - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:0

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