Match Info

I Lyga - Round 12

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Lithuania	LNK


	Neptūnas		BE1 NFA Kaunas

	1	X	2
	2.92	3.25	2.15	Watch
	3.19	3.49	2.06
	3.02	3.1	2.27	Watch
	3	3	2.15
	2.83	3.8	2.16	Watch
	2.75	3.3	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↑ (2.54)	3.32 ↓ (3.38)	2.17 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neptūnas
30.8%

Draw
27.4%

BE1 NFA Kaunas
41.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.8%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

27.1%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

BE1 NFA Kaunas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+5.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Neptūnas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BE1 NFA Kaunas than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
77', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 3.

Neptūnas is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

BE1 NFA is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

BE1 NFA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Neptūnas won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 17:7. (average 2.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Neptūnas won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:3. (average 2.5:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	BE1 NFA	24	16	2	6	44:24	20	50
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
22.05.26	Hegelmann Litauen 2 - Neptūnas	2:3 ✺
16.05.26	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
08.05.26	Jonava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
02.05.26	Neptūnas - Žalgiris Vilnius 2	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 WLWWW
- BE1 NFA Kaunas
Lithuanian Division 2
22.05.26	Dainava Alytus - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:2 ✺
15.05.26	Transinvest 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:2 ✺
08.05.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - FA Šiauliai B	5:2 ✺
02.05.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:1 ✺
24.04.26	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Ekranas	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	0:4
18.04.25	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:0
18.10.24	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	4:1
31.05.24	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	1:1
21.10.23	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	1:1
03.06.23	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Neptūnas	1:1
12.10.22	Neptūnas - BE1 NFA Kaunas	2:1

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