Match Info

I Lyga - Round 29

Date: 31 October 2025, Friday

Location: Sirvintu stadionas (Sirvintos)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	BFA Vilnius		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	2.78
	1.74	4.04	3.72	Watch
	2.08	3.52	3
	2.2	3.3	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↑ (1.74)	3.57 ↓ (4.04)	3.05 ↓ (3.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
44.4%

Draw
25.6%

Nevėžis
29.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

22.7%

24.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

19.1%

29.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFA Vilnius's form might have worsened.

Nevėžis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nevėžis's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BFA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Nevėžis (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. BFA (votes: 1 - 50%). Nevėžis (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
76. Semaska U. (G) 3. Haleida Y. 77. Jurevicius Z. 20. Levsinas A. 10. Osipovic A. 89. Paulikas I. (C) 9. Perveinis M. 5. Petrauskas D. 66. Pranckus P. 48. Sidlauskas A. 53. Vilkuotis R.	34. Granauskas R. (C) 13. Berednikovas L. 21. Lipnevicius R. 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 91. Petkevicius M. 32. Shaibu V. 17. Skibiniauskas V. 4. Soroka R. 47. Veldman M. 35. Zuperka R. A.
Substitutes
44. Chachlauskas I. 55. Garsva R. (G) 74. Indriulis A. 4. Kezunas A. 16. Lukashevych M. 24. Misiunas D. 12. Ramanauskas E. (G) 2. Sauklys T. 34. Tomulevicius T. 22. Urbanavicius K. 75. Valickis G. 15. Yakymenko D.	9. Bekima B. 25. Gaizutis D. 28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 2. Mockus E. 1. Urbonas E. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
51', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
63', 🟨,
71', 🟨,
72', 🟨,
84', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 5 and 15 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BFA won 1.

BFA has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nevėžis is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, BFA has had a series of away games.

In this match, BFA is considered a favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, BFA won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
25.10.25	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	2:3 ✺
18.10.25	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	1:5 ✺
04.10.25	Babrungas Plungė - BFA Vilnius	3:1 ✺
26.09.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - BFA Vilnius	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	Transinvest - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 WLLTL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
24.10.25	Nevėžis - Ekranas	0:2 ✺
18.10.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Nevėžis	4:1 ✺
04.10.25	Jonava - Nevėžis	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nevėžis - Tauras Tauragė	0:5 ✺
19.09.25	Neptūnas - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
21.06.25	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	1:0
26.07.24	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	2:2
13.04.24	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	2:1
22.09.23	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	2:2
30.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	0:2
24.09.22	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	1:1
01.04.22	Nevėžis - BFA Vilnius	0:2

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