Match Info

I Lyga - Round 27

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Mažeikių stadionas - artificial grass (Mazeikiai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Futbols TV


	Atmosfera Mažeikiai		Nevėžis

	1	X	2
	2.02	3.55	2.98
	1.84	3.72	3.4
	2.07	3.64	2.98	Watch
	2.07	3.6	3.04
	1.97	3.8	3.14
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.99 ↓ (2.01)	3.66 ↑ (3.58)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atmosfera Mažeikiai
45.7%

Draw
24.9%

Nevėžis
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.1%

25.3%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.2%

24.7%

28.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atmosfera Mažeikiai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Nevėžis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atmosfera Mažeikiai than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nevėžis than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Nevėžis Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Atmosfera will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Lopez K. (G) 4. Aderounmu K. 8. Andriejauskas A. 21. Balde U. 11. Gineitis D. (C) 14. Gritkus E. 7. Horikoshi T. 23. Mantinis K. 9. Najulis K. 71. Seki K. 2. Stasys M.	34. Granauskas R. (G) 5. Avizovas U. 9. Bekima B. 13. Berednikovas L. 22. Lukosevicius A. (C) 11. Mohil Y. 30. Monkelis M. 99. Rukuiza K. 32. Shaibu V. 4. Soroka R. 18. Tymoshenko I.
Substitutes
17. Fujiyoshi M. 10. Funami Y. 47. Najulis E. 30. Patella S. R. 18. Pucekas T. 55. Skirzgilas M. (G) 24. Svambaris D. 3. Ugochukwu Ihekuna M.	25. Gaizutis D. 21. Lipnevicius R. 28. Lozano J. 12. Manasyan R. (G) 3. Martinkus N. 14. Mezinis G. 8. Mikuckis R. 1. Urbonas E. (G) 47. Veldman M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Horikoshi T. ⚽,
6', 2 - 0, Aderounmu K. ⚽,
16', Mantinis K. 🟨,
25', Monkelis M. ↓, Martinkus N. ↑,
27', Lukosevicius A. 🟨,
45+2', 3 - 0, Seki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
50', Lukosevicius A. ↓, Mikuckis R. ↑,
59', 4 - 0, ⚽,
65', 4 - 1, ⚽,
74', 🟨,
80', 🟨,
83', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 8 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 1.

In recent matches, Atmosfera has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nevėžis is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Atmosfera has had a series of away games.

Atmosfera will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Atmosfera won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atmosfera won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:9. (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atmosfera Mažeikiai
Lithuanian Division 2
04.10.25	Tauras Tauragė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Neptūnas	4:2 ✺
19.09.25	Babrungas Plungė - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	3:0 ✺
14.09.25	BE1 NFA Kaunas - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:3 ✺
30.08.25	Transinvest - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 TWLWL
- FK Nevėžis
Lithuanian Division 2
04.10.25	Jonava - Nevėžis	2:2 ✺
26.09.25	Nevėžis - Tauras Tauragė	0:5 ✺
19.09.25	Neptūnas - Nevėžis	1:0 ✺
12.09.25	Nevėžis - Babrungas Plungė	1:1 ✺
29.08.25	Nevėžis - BE1 NFA Kaunas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
13.06.25	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:1
10.08.24	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:1
15.03.24	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Nevėžis	1:2
16.09.22	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Nevėžis	2:2
21.05.22	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	1:0
29.08.20	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Nevėžis	0:5
22.06.19	Nevėžis - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	4:0

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