Match Info

I Lyga - Round 22

Date: 28 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tauras Tauragė		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.78	3.40	3.70
	1.83	3.50	3.45
	1.75	3.59	3.81
	1.8	3.71	3.74	Watch
	1.75	3.40	3.75
	1.86	3.51	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.94)	3.52 ↓ (3.53)	3.72 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauras Tauragė
50.2%

Draw
25.6%

BFA Vilnius
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

25.6%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

26.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauras Tauragė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
49', 1 - 0, ⚽,
53', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 3 and 7).

Tauras has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

BFA is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tauras is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tauras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 3:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
21.08.26	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TWLTW
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
22.08.26	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	2:0 ✺
15.08.26	Dainava Alytus - BFA Vilnius	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	BFA Vilnius - Transinvest 2	4:2 ✺
02.08.26	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	BFA Vilnius - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
25.04.26	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	3:1
25.10.25	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	2:3
18.06.25	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	2:2
08.11.24	BFA Vilnius - Tauras Tauragė	0:1
22.06.24	Tauras Tauragė - BFA Vilnius	4:0

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