Match Info

I Lyga - Round 21

Date: 22 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	BFA Vilnius		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
	2.10	3.30	2.87
	2.42	3.3	2.45
	2.2	3.6	2.77
	1.98	3.8	3.08	Watch
	2.17	3.5	2.6
	2.16	3.86	2.78	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.17 ↓ (2.53)	3.56 ↑ (3.38)	2.76 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
41.7%

Draw
25.4%

Neptūnas
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.7%

26.7%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.8%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFA Vilnius's performance.

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFA Vilnius that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. BFA will win (votes: 4 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. BFA (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
72', 1 - 0, ⚽,
82', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BFA won 1.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, BFA won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:21. (average 1.5:1.9).

Including home matches between the teams, BFA won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.6:2.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.26	Dainava Alytus - BFA Vilnius	0:0 ✺
08.08.26	BFA Vilnius - Transinvest 2	4:2 ✺
02.08.26	FA Šiauliai B - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	BFA Vilnius - BE1 NFA Kaunas	3:1 ✺
19.07.26	Ekranas - BFA Vilnius	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 TWLWW
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.26	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
01.08.26	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Transinvest 2 - Neptūnas	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
17.04.26	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	1:3
18.10.25	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	1:5
13.06.25	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:0
30.08.24	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	0:5
05.04.24	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	2:2
30.09.23	BFA Vilnius - Neptūnas	2:2
13.05.23	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	1:0

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