Match Info

LITHUANIA: I LYGA - ROUND 12

Date: 4 June 2023, Sunday


	BFA Vilnius		Riteriai 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.3	2.87
	2.12	3.29	2.98
	2.24	3.4	2.84
	2.15	3.4	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.46)	3.35 ↑ (3.19)	2.91 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
42%

Draw
27%

Riteriai 2
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.2%

27.9%

35.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.2%

26.4%

38%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFA Vilnius's performance.

Riteriai 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFA Vilnius that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Riteriai 2 than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Riteriai 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 9 and 11).

Last 5 head-to-head matches BFA won 1.

Recent matches BFA is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Riteriai 2 is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Riteriai 2 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

BFA will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches BFA won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 8-14.

Including matches at home between the teams BFA won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Cup
31.05.23	Klaipedos FM - BFA Vilnius	1:2 ET ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
27.05.23	Transinvest - BFA Vilnius	2:0 ✺
21.05.23	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	2:1 ✺
13.05.23	Neptūnas - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
30.04.23	BFA Vilnius - Nevėžis	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL
- FK Riteriai 2
Lithuanian Division 2
29.05.23	Riteriai 2 - Ekranas	0:1 ✺
22.05.23	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - Riteriai 2	0:3 ✺
14.05.23	Riteriai 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:2 ✺
28.04.23	Garliava - Riteriai 2	2:1 ✺
23.04.23	Riteriai 2 - FA Šiauliai B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
15.10.22	BFA Vilnius - Riteriai 2	3:1
10.06.22	Riteriai 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:2
16.10.21	BFA Vilnius - Riteriai 2	0:1
26.06.21	Riteriai 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:0
03.10.20	Riteriai 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:1
09.08.20	BFA Vilnius - Riteriai 2	0:3
01.09.19	Riteriai 2 - BFA Vilnius	2:0

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