Match Info

Date: 12 September 2021, Sunday


	BFA Vilnius		Sūduva 2

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.8	2.15
	2.38	3.3	2.47
	2.45	3.34	2.48
	2.84	3.3	2.3	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↓ (2.81)	3.44 ↓ (3.6)	2.35 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFA Vilnius
35.1%

Draw
26.4%

Sūduva 2
38.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

25.1%

42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.2%

18.8%

56.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Sūduva 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFA Vilnius that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva 2 than the current prediction. (+18.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sūduva 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

BFA Vilnius - Sūduva 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation Group) and 14 in the zone I Lyga (Relegation Group)).

BFA Vilnius has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Sūduva 2 is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently BFA Vilnius have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
27.08.21	Jonava - BFA Vilnius	6:0 ✺
20.08.21	FA Šiauliai - BFA Vilnius	4:0 ✺
14.08.21	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:4 ✺
07.08.21	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	1:0 ✺
03.08.21	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Sūduva 2
Lithuanian Division 2
28.08.21	Riteriai 2 - Sūduva 2	4:1 ✺
21.08.21	Šilas Kazlų Rūda - Sūduva 2	3:1 ✺
15.08.21	Banga Gargždai 2 - Sūduva 2	3:1 ✺
08.08.21	Sūduva 2 - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
03.08.21	Sūduva 2 - Babrungas Plungė	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 LLLLW

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