The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Jonava 36.5%
Draw 26.3%
BFA Vilnius 37.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
33.4%
27.4%
39.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.2%
28%
38.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Jonava - BFA Vilnius Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Benevicius N. ⚽,
10', 2 - 0, Krot R. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Benevicius N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Jonava won 0.
Recent results have been tough for Jonava (last 5 matches: 1 win).
BFA has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Jonava has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:11 (averaging 1.3:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Jonava against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 9:8 goals (averaging 1.8:1.6 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
BFA Vilnius
28
14
4
10
42:41
1
46
11
Jonava
28
8
6
14
31:38
-7
30
Last Results with these Odds
BFA Vilnius - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 39.18%, but this team recently wins 80% of matches with these odds.
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