Match Info

I Lyga - Round 13

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Lithuania	LNK
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	DAZN USA


	Minija Kretinga		BFA Vilnius

	1	X	2
	1.26	5.25	8.50
	1.28	4.80	8.50
	1.26	5.21	9.02
	1.28	5.07	8.81	Watch
	1.25	4.60	10.00
	1.30	5.37	8.06
	1.28	4.8	8.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.3)	5.01 ↑ (4.8)	8.77 ↑ (8.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Minija Kretinga
71.5%

Draw
18.1%

BFA Vilnius
10.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

70%

19%

11%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

18.4%

10.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Minija Kretinga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Minija Kretinga than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kasparavicius J. ⚽,
21', 2 - 0, Aderounmu K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
71', 3 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 🟥,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: ) and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minija won 0.

Minija is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

BFA has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

BFA may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Minija has had a series of away games.

Recently, BFA has had a series of home games.

In this match, Minija is the clear favorite.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Minija won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 21:17. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Minija won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:6. (average 1.7:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FK Minija	25	22	1	2	68:13	55	67
5	BFA Vilnius	25	13	4	8	39:35	4	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Minija Kretinga
Lithuanian Division 2
07.06.26	Jonava - Minija Kretinga	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Babrungas Plungė - Minija Kretinga	1:0 ✺
23.05.26	Minija Kretinga - Tauras Tauragė	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	Pempininkai - Minija Kretinga	1:4 ET ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	Neptūnas - Minija Kretinga	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TLWWW
- BFA Vilnius
Lithuanian Division 2
30.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Jonava	1:0 ✺
22.05.26	Žalgiris Vilnius 2 - BFA Vilnius	3:4 ✺
Lithuanian Cup
19.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Garliava	2:1 ✺
Lithuanian Division 2
16.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Atmosfera Mažeikiai	0:5 ✺
09.05.26	BFA Vilnius - Garliava	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
30.08.25	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	1:1
03.05.25	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	1:0
17.08.24	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	1:1
23.03.24	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	0:1
28.10.23	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	2:0
10.06.23	Minija Kretinga - BFA Vilnius	1:1
30.09.22	BFA Vilnius - Minija Kretinga	2:3

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