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Current Win Probability
BFA Vilnius 45.8%
Draw 25.7%
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 28.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
51.3%
24%
24.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.6%
25.6%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFA Vilnius has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFA Vilnius's form might have worsened.
Žalgiris Vilnius 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFA Vilnius, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Žalgiris Vilnius 2 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Žalgiris Vilnius 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
BFA Vilnius - Žalgiris Vilnius 2 Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DNB - Žalgiris 2 (2.38) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH +0.5 - Žalgiris 2 (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DC - Žalgiris 2 (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Žalgiris 2 (votes: 3 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 1 - 0, ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
66', 1 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
A high-stakes showdown between two teams from the upper tier of the standings (ranked 5th and 6th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, BFA won 3.
BFA has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Žalgiris 2 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
BFA may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, BFA has faced a series of away games on the road.
Bookmakers give the edge to BFA for this game.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, BFA has recorded 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 28:29 (averaging 2.2:2.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for BFA against this opponent, the record stands at 4 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 15:14 goals (averaging 2.5:2.3 per game).
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