Match Info
I Lyga - Round 24Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday
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Garliava |
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BFA Vilnius |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 Watch |
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3.10 |
3.30 |
2.00 |
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2.85 |
3.20 |
2.20 |
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3.24 |
3.34 |
1.93 |
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3.2 |
3.47 |
2.03 |
Watch |
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3.15 |
3.25 |
1.89 |
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3.29 |
3.34 |
2.01 |
Watch |
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2.55 |
3.35 |
2.35 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(2.73) |
3.32 ↑
(3.28) |
2.06 ↓
(2.3) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Garliava
29.4% | Draw
27% | BFA Vilnius
43.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Garliava has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)BFA Vilnius has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Garliava than the current prediction. (+3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFA Vilnius than the current prediction. (-3.9%)Garliava - BFA Vilnius Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 3)
- 12', 0 - 1, ⚽,
- 18', 0 - 2, ⚽,
- 27', 0 - 3, ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', 1 - 3, ⚽,
- 56', 2 - 3, ⚽,
- 90', 🟥,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Garliava won 1.Garliava is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).BFA is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Garliava may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win. We predict that BFA will win today's game, with odds of 2.3.In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Garliava won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.8:2).Including home matches between the teams, Garliava won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | BFA Vilnius | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | 39:35 | 4 | 43 |
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| 10 | Garliava | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 31:28 | 3 | 28 |
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Last Results with these Odds
BFA Vilnius - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 39.27%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Lithuanian Cup | | | 19.05.26 | BFA Vilnius - Garliava | 2:1 | | Lithuanian Division 2 | | | 09.05.26 | BFA Vilnius - Garliava | 1:2 | | 09.08.24 | Garliava - BFA Vilnius | 2:2 | | 16.03.24 | BFA Vilnius - Garliava | 1:0 | | 08.11.23 | BFA Vilnius - Garliava | 2:0 | | 01.07.23 | Garliava - BFA Vilnius | 1:1 | | 26.08.22 | Garliava - BFA Vilnius | 0:3 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
