Match Info

Date: 22 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Stadions Celtnieks (Daugavpils)


	BFC Daugavpils		Spartaks

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.4	2.45
	2.33	3.6	2.48
	2.29	3.56	2.58
	2.35	3.4	2.55
	2.31	3.62	2.6
	2.37	3.7	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2)	3.55 ↑ (3.5)	2.53 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFC Daugavpils
38.7%

Draw
25.5%

Spartaks
35.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

26.2%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

25.4%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that BFC Daugavpils's form might have worsened.

Spartaks has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Spartaks's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for BFC Daugavpils, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartaks than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spartaks, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	28.6%	28.6%

BFC Daugavpils - Spartaks Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Daugavpils will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Spartaks will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Daugavpils won 2.

The competitors look crappy now.

Recently Daugavpils have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 34 head-to-head matches Daugavpils won 9 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 22 matches and goals 32-58.

Including matches at home between the teams Daugavpils won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 19-23.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
16.10.22	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	4:0 ✺
09.10.22	BFC Daugavpils - Liepāja	2:3 ✺
02.10.22	BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera	1:1 ✺
27.09.22	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	1:3 ✺
10.09.22	BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLTLT
- Spartaks Jurmala
Latvian Virsliga
16.10.22	Super Nova - Spartaks	1:3 ✺
08.10.22	Spartaks - Riga	1:3 ✺
01.10.22	Liepāja - Spartaks	5:2 ✺
17.09.22	Spartaks - Valmiera	1:6 ✺
12.09.22	RFS - Spartaks	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
08.08.22	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	2:1
22.05.22	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	2:0
15.04.22	BFC Daugavpils - Spartaks	2:0
11.09.21	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	3:0
Latvian Cup
07.08.21	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	0:1
Latvian Virsliga
25.06.21	Spartaks - BFC Daugavpils	2:0
05.05.21	BFC Daugavpils - Spartaks	3:0

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