The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
BFC Daugavpils 56.9%
Draw 23.3%
Tukums 2000 19.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.1%
24.8%
28.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50%
23.4%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
BFC Daugavpils has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in BFC Daugavpils's performance.
Tukums 2000 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tukums 2000 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with BFC Daugavpils that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tukums 2000 than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tukums 2000 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
91.7%
0%
8.3%
BFC Daugavpils - Tukums 2000 Predictions
Users Predictions:
BFC Daugavpils will win
(11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%). Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Beks J. (G) 37. Mihalcovs G. 5. Papa 20. Taty C. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 10. Ivanovs E. (C) 8. Skrebels R. 11. Yakubu J. 4. Mukwelle W. 9. Traore A. 3. Ayebadiepreye D.
1. Vilkovs S. (G) 28. Melkis R. 6. Volkovs K. 25. Joksts H. 8. Reingolcs R. 16. Klavins K. 10. Samoilovs B. (C) 5. Toba J. 4. Anmanis Kaspars 11. Leoni 27. Deruzinskis R.
Substitutes
77. Aizups R. 6. Barkovskis N. 66. Bujanovs K. 97. Kivinda D. 27. Kopilovs M. 19. Pinaskins E. 1. Saveljevs J. (G)
18. Calbergs D. 12. Kuprins A. (G) 19. Radzenieks D. 31. Shigema K. 88. Stals M. 30. Susts M. 21. Valmiers D.
Coaches
Kurbatov K.
Dislers K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Melkis R. 🟨,
43', Skrebels R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
65', Mukwelle W. ↓, Pinaskins E. ↑,
66', Melkis R. ↓, Stals M. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Yakubu J. ⚽, Pinaskins E. (A),
72', Toba J. ↓, Shigema K. ↑,
80', Klavins K. ↓, Valmiers D. ↑,
86', Yakubu J. ↓, Kopilovs M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Skrebels R. ⚽,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 4 and 9 in the zone Virsliga (Relegation)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 1.
Daugavpils is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Tukums 2000's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Daugavpils is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Daugavpils will win today's game, with odds of 1.81.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 9 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:19. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:10. (average 2.2:1.1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
5
BFC Daugavpils
31
10
9
12
35:35
0
39
9
Tukums 2000
31
5
9
17
44:61
-17
24
Last Results with these Odds
BFC Daugavpils - the odds 1.91 are the expected chance of winning is 47.11%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
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Beks J. (G) 
Papa 
Taty C. 
Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 
Yakubu J. 
Mukwelle W. 
Traore A. 
Toba J. 
Leoni 
Kivinda D. 
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