Match Info

LATVIA: Virsliga - Round 35

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Stadions Celtnieks (Daugavpils)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	BFC Daugavpils		Valmiera

	1	X	2
	6.25	4.6	1.36
	6.5	4.75	1.4
	5.9	4.65	1.39
	6.51	4.72	1.43	Watch
	6.5	4.6	1.35
	6.73	4.65	1.36	Watch
	6.5	4.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.41 ↑ (5.69)	4.67 ↑ (4.2)	1.38 ↓ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFC Daugavpils
14.3%

Draw
19.6%

Valmiera
66.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

16%

21.7%

62.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.6%

22.3%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Valmiera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Valmiera than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
91. Orols F. (G) 37. Mihalcovs G. 8. Skrebels R. (C) 5. Kudelkins A. 4. Molotkovs A. 6. Barkovskis N. 17. Diedhiou B. 15. Miksto M. 29. Ugen L. 11. Kone M. 18. Galajs A.	12. Oss D. (G) 4. Veips R. 8. Kawasaki S. 5. Alekseiciks K. 27. Birka E. 7. Gustavo 10. Vapne L. 34. Korobenko A. 19. Gueye D. (C) 24. Ndoye A. 22. Diop M.
Substitutes
7. Bujanovs K. 97. Dauksts R. 10. Fofana W. 22. Harzha A. 33. Kopilovs M. 2. Valpeters A. 28. Zuravlovs L. (G)	29. Bahamboula J. 17. Duke C. 18. Dusalijevs N. 30. Lucas Aruba 1. Minuss R. (G) 41. Omori Y. 77. Porsan-Clemente J. 25. Rotar C. 14. Varslavans R.
Coaches
Kurbatov K.	Kalnins G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', Miksto M. 🟨,
9', 0 - 1, Alekseiciks K. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Kone M. ⚽, Ugen L. (A),
38', Galajs A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
53', 1 - 2, Birka E. ⚽, Kawasaki S. (A),
57', 2 - 2, Kudelkins A. ⚽, Barkovskis N. (A),
62', Kawasaki S. ↓, Varslavans R. ↑,
62', Gustavo ↓, Porsan-Clemente J. ↑,
65', 3 - 2, Galajs A. ⚽,
72', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
74', Diedhiou B. 🟨,
75', 3 - 3, Ndoye A. ⚽,
82', Mihalcovs G. 🟨,
85', Ugen L. ↓, Valpeters A. ↑,
90+2', Ndoye A. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
26.10.24	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	1:2 ✺
19.10.24	BFC Daugavpils - Riga	0:5 ✺
06.10.24	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	0:3 ✺
27.09.24	BFC Daugavpils - Metta	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	Tukums 2000 - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LLLTT
- Valmiera FK
Latvian Virsliga
26.10.24	Valmiera - Jelgava	3:2 ✺
20.10.24	Valmiera - Liepāja	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Grobiņa - Valmiera	1:4 ✺
28.09.24	Valmiera - Auda Riga	2:3 ✺
19.09.24	Riga - Valmiera	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
11.08.24	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	4:1
01.06.24	BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera	1:6
22.04.24	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	0:1
07.10.23	BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera	0:0
22.07.23	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	0:1
22.05.23	Valmiera - BFC Daugavpils	1:0
11.04.23	BFC Daugavpils - Valmiera	1:1

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