Match Info

Virsliga - Round 30

Date: 13 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadions Celtnieks (Daugavpils)

Where to Watch on TV:


Latvia	Sportacentrs TV, Virsliga Plus
Ukraine	Sport 2
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	Sport 2 Baltic


	BFC Daugavpils		RFS

	1	X	2
				Watch
	8.00	5.00	1.28
	9.7	5.25	1.23	Watch
	10.54	6.28	1.26
	8.52	5.54	1.3	Watch
	10	6.15	1.17
	9.8	5.55	1.22	Watch
	8.6	5.2	1.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	9.31 ↑ (7.25)	5.57 ↑ (4.8)	1.24 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

BFC Daugavpils
9.8%

Draw
16.4%

RFS
73.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

12.5%

18.9%

68.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

12%

18.2%

71.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

BFC Daugavpils has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

RFS has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting RFS's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for BFC Daugavpils than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for RFS than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

BFC Daugavpils - RFS Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. RFS will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Beks J. (G) 37. Mihalcovs G. 8. Skrebels R. 20. Taty C. 34. Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 11. Yakubu J. 10. Ivanovs E. (C) 6. Barkovskis N. 9. Traore A. 19. Pinaskins E. 97. Kivinda D.	1. Matrevics R. (G) 6. Filipovic A. 23. Prenga H. (C) 99. Kumater S. 18. Zelenkovs D. 26. Panic S. 81. Rakic S. 19. Balde A. 11. Savalnieks R. 15. Ndjiki R. 10. Ikaunieks J.
Substitutes
77. Aizups R. 3. Ayebadiepreye D. 66. Bujanovs K. 33. Cucurs D. 27. Kopilovs M. 4. Mukwelle W. 5. Papa 58. Razumejevs V. (G) 42. Saveljevs A.	49. Kigurs M. 9. Korac D. 22. Lemajic D. 43. Lipuscek Z. 77. Mankenda G. 35. Maric M. (G) 8. Odisharia L. 66. Saidy M. 5. Sliede N.
Coaches
Kurbatov K.	Morozs V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Traore A. ⚽, Yakubu J. (A),
19', Barkovskis N. ↓, Mukwelle W. ↑,
32', Ouled-Haj-M'hand Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Kumater S. ↓, Lemajic D. ↑,
46', Balde A. ↓, Odisharia L. ↑,
46', Rakic S. ↓, Saidy M. ↑,
65', Filipovic A. ↓, Lipuscek Z. ↑,
71', Ikaunieks J. ↓, Kigurs M. ↑,
77', Kivinda D. ↓, Ayebadiepreye D. ↑,
84', Savalnieks R. 🟨,
90', 1 - 1, Lipuscek Z. ⚽, Zelenkovs D. (A),
90+2', Skrebels R. 🟨,
90+4', 1 - 2, Panic S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Daugavpils may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, RFS is the clear favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 17 matches, and goals 13:58. (average 0.7:2.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Daugavpils won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 5:24. (average 0.5:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	RFS	30	23	5	2	71:22	49	74
5	BFC Daugavpils	31	10	9	12	35:35	0	39

Last Results with these Odds

RFS - the odds 1.32 are the expected chance of winning is 68.63%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BFC Daugavpils
Latvian Virsliga
07.09.26	Riga - BFC Daugavpils	1:1 ✺
Latvian Cup
02.09.26	BFC Daugavpils - Auda Riga	2:3 penalties ✺
Latvian Virsliga
29.08.26	Grobiņa - BFC Daugavpils	1:0 ✺
22.08.26	Super Nova - BFC Daugavpils	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
14.08.26	BFC Daugavpils - Ogre United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TLLTW
- FK RFS
Latvian Virsliga
07.09.26	RFS - Liepāja	0:0 ✺
Latvian Cup
03.09.26	RFS - Riga	2:3 ✺
Latvian Virsliga
30.08.26	Ogre United - RFS	0:3 ✺
23.08.26	RFS - Riga	3:3 ✺
Latvian Cup
16.08.26	Super Nova - RFS	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 TLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Latvian Virsliga
30.06.26	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	3:1
13.05.26	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	0:1
21.03.26	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	4:1
21.09.25	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	5:1
30.06.25	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	1:7
09.05.25	RFS - BFC Daugavpils	5:1
15.03.25	BFC Daugavpils - RFS	1:2

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