Match Info

Date: 16 September 2022, Friday

Location: Estádio João Cardoso (Tondela)

Referee: Brazao M. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Tondela		BSAD

	1	X	2
	1.72	3.5	4.33	Watch
	1.72	3.4	4.33
	1.76	3.25	4.5
	1.79	3.45	4.2
	1.82	3.51	4.96
	1.73	3.2	4.6
	1.76	3.5	4.3
	1.8	3.5	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.83)	3.41 ↑ (3.1)	4.43 ↑ (4.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tondela
52.2%

Draw
27%

BSAD
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

29.1%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51%

28.2%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tondela has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

BSAD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tondela than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

The ML Model estimate for BSAD aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.7%	33.3%	25%

Tondela - BSAD Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Tondela will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%). BSAD will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tondela: 13.8% – 69.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 5 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tondela won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Tondela is a favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Tondela won 3 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14-20.

Including matches at home between the teams Tondela won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tondela
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.22	Torreense - Tondela	0:3 ✺
05.09.22	Tondela - Estrela da Amadora	1:1 ✺
27.08.22	Académico de Viseu - Tondela	2:2 ✺
19.08.22	Tondela - Covilhã	1:1 ✺
12.08.22	Tondela - Benfica B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WTTTT
- BSAD
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.22	BSAD - Feirense	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	Nacional - BSAD	1:3 ✺
27.08.22	BSAD - Moreirense	2:3 ✺
22.08.22	Penafiel - BSAD	3:3 ✺
14.08.22	BSAD - Porto B	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Liga Portugal
07.03.22	Tondela - BSAD	1:1
03.10.21	BSAD - Tondela	0:2
11.05.21	Tondela - BSAD	1:3
25.01.21	BSAD - Tondela	2:0
01.07.20	BSAD - Tondela	1:1
01.12.19	Tondela - BSAD	0:1
19.01.19	BSAD - Tondela	2:2

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