Match Info

Date: 18 September 2022, Sunday

Location: Estádio de São Luís (Faro)

Referee: Correia G. (Por)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sport TV


	Farense		Vilafranquense

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.3	4
	1.83	3.2	3.9
	1.81	3.35	4.1
	1.9	3.35	3.8
	1.94	3.48	4.28
	1.85	3.1	4
	1.86	3.36	3.96
	1.91	3.35	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.95)	3.31 ↑ (3.13)	3.99 ↑ (3.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Farense
49.2%

Draw
27.8%

Vilafranquense
23.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.3%

28.8%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.3%

30.6%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Farense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Vilafranquense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Farense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilafranquense than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Farense - Vilafranquense Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Farense will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Vilafranquense will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Farense: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 5 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Farense won 3.

Farense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vilafranquense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Farense could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Farense is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Farense won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Farense won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Farense
Portuguese Liga 2
11.09.22	Leixões - Farense	0:1 ✺
04.09.22	Farense - Covilhã	2:2 ✺
29.08.22	Mafra - Farense	0:3 ✺
20.08.22	Farense - Académico de Viseu	2:2 ✺
13.08.22	Estrela da Amadora - Farense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WTWTT
- UD Vilafranquense
Portuguese Liga 2
10.09.22	Vilafranquense - Benfica B	3:2 ✺
03.09.22	Porto B - Vilafranquense	0:1 ✺
26.08.22	Vilafranquense - Feirense	1:0 ✺
20.08.22	Trofense - Vilafranquense	1:3 ✺
14.08.22	Vilafranquense - Oliveirense	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 26.5 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 2
27.02.22	Farense - Vilafranquense	1:0
03.10.21	Vilafranquense - Farense	2:2
21.02.20	Vilafranquense - Farense	0:3
14.09.19	Farense - Vilafranquense	3:0
Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
27.05.18	Vilafranquense - Farense	1:1
19.05.18	Farense - Vilafranquense	3:0
Club Friendly
02.08.17	Farense - Vilafranquense	0:1

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