The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Amsterdamsche FC 31.3%
Draw 25%
Spakenburg 43.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.8%
25.4%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
31.7%
24.5%
43.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Amsterdamsche FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
Spakenburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Amsterdamsche FC than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spakenburg than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Amsterdamsche FC - Spakenburg Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Nolet D. (G) 27. Lee I. 23. van Rhijn R. 3. Markiet G. (C) 6. Benninga N. 4. Ederveen S. 22. Shenkman N. 25. Brussee D. 29. Fonseca R. 28. Gouda D. 18. Wildschut Y.
13. Houweling J. (G) 16. Kok O. 3. Apau M. 44. Guiting J. 5. Green D. 10. Kunst D. 15. van Lopik H. 8. van Huffel S. 22. van Mil K. 9. van der Linden F. (C) 7. El Azzouti A.
Substitutes
17. Ascencion D. 71. Beekman T. 24. Eliasar M. 8. Hoek M. 43. Hovenkamp T. 11. Okunbor O. 67. Van Schouten G. (G)
4. Claver C. 11. Junte R. 81. Linthorst T. 21. Prins M. 27. Puriel J. 17. van Dieren K. 23. van Dorp K. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
49', Ederveen S. 🟨,
62', van der Linden F. ↓, Puriel J. ↑,
62', van Mil K. ↓, Junte R. ↑,
66', Apau M. 🟨,
66', 1 - 0, Gouda D. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Kok O. 🟨,
69', Green D. ↓, Linthorst T. ↑,
69', Guiting J. ↓, Claver C. ↑,
74', Apau M. 🟨,
75', Wildschut Y. ↓, Okunbor O. ↑,
90', Benninga N. ↓, Hoek M. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Okunbor O. ⚽, Fonseca R. (A),
90+2', Fonseca R. ↓, Ascencion D. ↑,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 15 and 5).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, AFC won 3.
In recent matches, AFC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Spakenburg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, AFC won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 30:15. (average 2:1).
Including home matches between the teams, AFC won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).