Match Info

POLAND: III LIGA - GROUP II - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Stadion GOSiR (Gdynia)


	Bałtyk Gdynia		Vineta Wolin

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	3.4	3.6	1.85
	2.75	3.4	2.23
	2.69	3.58	2.2
	2.8	3.52	2.18	Watch
	3.75	4.2	1.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (4.6)	3.6 ↓ (4.6)	2.05 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bałtyk Gdynia
30.2%

Draw
25.3%

Vineta Wolin
44.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

19.7%

60.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bałtyk Gdynia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bałtyk Gdynia's performance.

Vineta Wolin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vineta Wolin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bałtyk Gdynia than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bałtyk Gdynia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vineta Wolin than the current prediction. (+17.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vineta Wolin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.2%	22.2%	55.6%

Bałtyk Gdynia - Vineta Wolin Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bałtyk will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Vineta Wolin will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Vineta Wolin: 23.1% – 88.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Bałtyk has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Vineta Wolin is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Vineta Wolin will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bałtyk won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bałtyk Gdynia
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.10.22	Sokół Kleczew - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:1 ✺
21.10.22	Bałtyk Gdynia - Unia Solec Kujawski	2:4 ✺
14.10.22	Swit Skolwin - Bałtyk Gdynia	2:0 ✺
08.10.22	Bałtyk Gdynia - Stolem Gniewino	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	Gedania Gdańsk - Bałtyk Gdynia	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LLLTL
- Vineta Wolin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.10.22	Vineta Wolin - Unia Swarzędz	0:0 ✺
22.10.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Vineta Wolin	1:2 ✺
15.10.22	Vineta Wolin - Jarota Jarocin	1:2 ✺
08.10.22	Vineta Wolin - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
01.10.22	Sokół Kleczew - Vineta Wolin	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
20.05.17	Vineta Wolin - Bałtyk Gdynia	0:2

Bałtyk Gdynia - Vineta Wolin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide