Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 8

Date: 25 September 2024, Wednesday


	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce		Vineta Wolin

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5
	1.45	4.5	5.2
	1.42	4.47	5.2
	1.45	4.58	5.58
	1.36	4.88	6.31	Watch
	1.45	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↓ (1.67)	4.54 ↑ (4.1)	5.42 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
63.3%

Draw
20%

Vineta Wolin
16.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

22.2%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

18.3%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce's performance.

Vineta Wolin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vineta Wolin might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce than the current prediction. (-18.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vineta Wolin than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vineta Wolin could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Vineta Wolin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
19', 1 - 0, Szewczyk F. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
78', 2 - 0, Palat P. ⚽,
86', 2 - 1, ⚽,
90+6', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.24	Noteć Czarnków - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:4 ✺
31.08.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Wda Świecie	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Elana Toruń - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	1:0 ✺
21.08.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Kotwica Kórnik	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WTLTL
- Vineta Wolin
Polish Division 3 - Group II
21.09.24	Vineta Wolin - Kotwica Kórnik	1:3 ✺
01.09.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Vineta Wolin	3:1 ✺
24.08.24	Vineta Wolin - Flota Świnoujście	1:1 ✺
21.08.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Vineta Wolin	5:3 ✺
17.08.24	Vineta Wolin - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
27.04.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Vineta Wolin	3:0
30.09.23	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	0:1
24.05.23	Vineta Wolin - Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce	2:3
22.10.22	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Vineta Wolin	1:2

Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Vineta Wolin: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide