Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga Nordost - Round 11

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday


	Viktoria 1889 Berlin		Babelsberg

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.3	2.65
	2.4	3.3	2.8
	2.42	3.45	2.76
	2.38	3.32	2.73
	2.32	3.3	2.66
	2.4	3.3	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↓ (2.37)	3.33 ↑ (3.27)	2.73 ↑ (2.72)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Viktoria 1889 Berlin
38.9%

Draw
27.6%

Babelsberg
33.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.5%

27.9%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.5%

27.2%

32.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Viktoria 1889 Berlin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

The chances for Babelsberg have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Viktoria 1889 Berlin than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Babelsberg Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
25', 1 - 0, Skakun O. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Frahn D. ⚽,
43', 1 - 2, Buch G. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Gunay D. ⚽,
76', 3 - 2, Gunay D. ⚽,
81', 4 - 2, Hebisch N. ⚽,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Viktoria 1889 won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Babelsberg could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 19 head-to-head matches Viktoria 1889 won 5 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 22:26 (average 1.2:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Viktoria 1889 won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:11 (average 1.3:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Viktoria 1889 Berlin
German Regionalliga Nordost
28.09.24	Carl Zeiss Jena - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	2:0 ✺
13.09.24	Hertha Berlin II - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	3:1 ✺
10.09.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Hallescher	1:0 ✺
31.08.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Luckenwalde	4:1 ✺
25.08.24	Eilenburg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWWT
- SV Babelsberg 03
German Regionalliga Nordost
02.10.24	Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Babelsberg - Eilenburg	2:2 ✺
22.09.24	Lokomotive Leipzig - Babelsberg	2:1 ✺
14.09.24	Babelsberg - Altglienicke	0:0 ✺
01.09.24	Babelsberg - Plauen	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTLTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga Nordost
31.03.24	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Babelsberg	1:1
06.10.23	Babelsberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	3:0
18.02.23	Babelsberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	0:2
28.08.22	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Babelsberg	0:1
23.10.20	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Babelsberg	3:0
09.02.20	Viktoria 1889 Berlin - Babelsberg	1:0
16.08.19	Babelsberg - Viktoria 1889 Berlin	0:0

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