Match Info

I Lyga - Round 21

Date: 21 August 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Babrungas Plungė		Tauras Tauragė

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.85	3.40	3.50
	1.85	3.3	3.6
	1.83	3.45	3.9
	1.85	3.54	3.69	Watch
	1.73	3.45	3.8
	1.81	3.73	3.83
	1.95	3.3	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.84 ↓ (2.23)	3.45 ↑ (3.25)	3.65 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Babrungas Plungė
49.1%

Draw
26.2%

Tauras Tauragė
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

27.8%

31.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

26.9%

30.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Babrungas Plungė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Babrungas Plungė's performance.

Tauras Tauragė has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tauras Tauragė might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babrungas Plungė than the current prediction. (-7.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Babrungas Plungė that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tauras Tauragė could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
62', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ TOPLYGA (Promotion: ) and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 1.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Recently, Babrungas has had a series of away games.

Babrungas might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Babrungas won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Babrungas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:5. (average 1.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Babrungas	25	19	4	2	43:11	32	61
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Babrungas Plungė
Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.26	Neptūnas - Babrungas Plungė	0:4 ✺
08.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Babrungas Plungė	2:1 ✺
03.08.26	Transinvest 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Babrungas Plungė - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
19.07.26	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Babrungas Plungė	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLWWW
- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
15.08.26	Garliava - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
08.08.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	0:2 ✺
02.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
19.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.26	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	1:2
29.08.25	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	1:2
03.05.25	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	0:0
21.09.24	Tauras Tauragė - Babrungas Plungė	1:1
02.05.24	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	2:2
Lithuanian Cup
29.06.20	Babrungas Plungė - Tauras Tauragė	2:1

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