Match Info

I Lyga - Round 19

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tauras Tauragė		Neptūnas

	1	X	2
	1.77	3.50	3.75
	1.75	3.55	3.8
	1.76	4.25	3.58
	1.66	4.09	4.09
	1.74	3.75	3.5
	1.77	4.09	3.69	Watch
	1.81	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.04)	3.83 ↑ (3.55)	3.69 ↑ (3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tauras Tauragė
51.8%

Draw
23.7%

Neptūnas
24.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.4%

25.5%

30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

24.7%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tauras Tauragė has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tauras Tauragė's performance.

Neptūnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Neptūnas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tauras Tauragė than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tauras Tauragė that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Neptūnas than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.75 - Neptūnas (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Neptūnas (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
81', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 4 and 3).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 1.

Tauras is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Neptūnas is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tauras may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Tauras might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tauras won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:9. (average 0.7:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tauras won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Neptunas	25	14	2	9	33:30	3	44
7	Tauras Taurage	25	13	4	8	43:31	12	43

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tauras Tauragė
Lithuanian Division 2
02.08.26	Dainava Alytus - Tauras Tauragė	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - Kauno Žalgiris 2	4:2 ✺
19.07.26	Tauras Tauragė - FA Šiauliai B	3:1 ✺
01.07.26	FA Šiauliai B - Tauras Tauragė	1:3 ✺
27.06.26	Transinvest 2 - Tauras Tauragė	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW
- FC Neptūnas Klaipėda
Lithuanian Division 2
01.08.26	Garliava - Neptūnas	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Neptūnas - FA Šiauliai B	2:1 ✺
20.07.26	Transinvest 2 - Neptūnas	2:2 ✺
27.06.26	Dainava Alytus - Neptūnas	1:0 ✺
18.06.26	Neptūnas - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
22.03.26	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	1:0
Club Friendly
02.02.26	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	1:0
Lithuanian Division 2
13.09.25	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	1:4
09.05.25	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	1:1
05.10.24	Tauras Tauragė - Neptūnas	0:1
17.05.24	Neptūnas - Tauras Tauragė	2:1

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