The best margin for this event is 17.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Calamonte 19.8%
Draw 25.8%
Badajoz 54.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
19.2%
25.1%
56.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Calamonte have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
The chances for Badajoz have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Calamonte than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Badajoz than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
67', 0 - 2, ⚽,
71', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Calamonte has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Badajoz is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Calamonte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.3:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Calamonte won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1. (average 0.5:0.5).