The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Moralo 50.5%
Draw 26%
Jaraíz 23.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.1%
25.3%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
23.9%
19.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moralo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
Jaraíz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Moralo than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Moralo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaraíz than the current prediction. (-4%)
Moralo - Jaraíz Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 14 (Play Offs: )).
Moralo is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Jaraíz is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Moralo is the team to beat.
We predict that Moralo will win today's game, with odds of 1.68.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Moralo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.7:3.7).
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