Match Info

Date: 6 November 2021, Saturday


	Badalona Futur		Real Madrid Castilla

	1	X	2
	3	3.1	2.3
	2.7	3.25	2.3
	2.85	3.1	2.35
	2.75	3.1	2.36
	2.88	3.22	2.38
	2.83	3.32	2.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↓ (3.24)	3.18 ↑ (3.14)	2.34 ↑ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Badalona Futur
32.2%

Draw
28.7%

Real Madrid Castilla
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

28.9%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.2%

21.9%

56.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Badalona Futur has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

Real Madrid Castilla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Badalona Futur than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Badalona Futur that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (+17.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Madrid Castilla could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Badalona Futur - Real Madrid Castilla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 14).

Llagostera Costa Brava has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Badalona Futur
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
30.10.21	Betis B - Badalona Futur	2:0 ✺
22.10.21	Badalona Futur - Linense	0:0 ✺
17.10.21	Badalona Futur - Atlético Baleares	1:2 ✺
10.10.21	Algeciras - Badalona Futur	5:1 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
06.10.21	Badalona Futur - Izarra	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LTLLL
- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
24.10.21	Atlético Sanluqueño - Real Madrid Castilla	3:1 ✺
16.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Barcelona B	0:0 ✺
08.10.21	Cornellà - Real Madrid Castilla	1:0 ✺
03.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WLTLT

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