Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 2 - ROUND 11

Date: 5 November 2023, Sunday


	Real Madrid Castilla		Atlético Baleares

	1	X	2
	1.45	4.2	5.25
	1.46	4	5.5
	1.47	4	6.5	Watch
	1.49	4.09	6.66
	1.5	4.09	6.66
	1.43	4.2	6.95
	1.47	4	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.55)	4.08 ↑ (3.6)	6.19 ↑ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid Castilla
62.6%

Draw
22.5%

Atlético Baleares
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.2%

25.5%

15.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

23%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid Castilla has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Atlético Baleares has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Madrid Castilla than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Madrid Castilla that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Baleares than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Canizares L. (G) 2. Tobias V. 15. Pujol E. 16. Asencio R. 3. Obrador R. 11. Gonzalez P. 20. Angel M. 6. Martin M. 22. Palacios C. 17. Garcia G. 9. Rodriguez A.	13. Lario J. (G) 2. Loren 12. Gonzalez R. 14. Navarro D. 19. Shashoua A. 17. Alarcon R. 4. Sierra J. 21. Nana 27. Llabres A. 16. Rodriguez D. 10. Pastrana V. (C)
Substitutes
36. Alonso B. 24. de Luis M. (G) 14. Gonzalez Ballesteros D. 23. Munoz V. 33. Ribes E. 34. Serrano M.	3. Fornies 9. Jimenez Xisco 7. Moreno Sanchez J. 22. Ofoli F. 30. Ortega D. 29. Piera J. 20. Sanchez O. 1. Vila R. (G) 6. Villapalos A.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Real Madrid Castilla is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Atlético Baleares is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Real Madrid Castilla could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Real Madrid Castilla is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Real Madrid Castilla won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid Castilla
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Ceuta	1:1 ✺
21.10.23	Málaga - Real Madrid Castilla	0:0 ✺
15.10.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Sanluqueño	1:0 ✺
07.10.23	Castellón - Real Madrid Castilla	4:1 ✺
30.09.23	Real Madrid Castilla - Recreativo Huelva	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWLL
- Atlético Baleares
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
29.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Melilla	1:0 ✺
22.10.23	Intercity - Atlético Baleares	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Atlético Madrid B	0:3 ✺
08.10.23	Atlético Baleares - Real Murcia	0:1 ✺
01.10.23	Antequera - Atlético Baleares	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 2
24.04.22	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1
03.10.21	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
07.02.21	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	2:1
25.11.20	Real Madrid Castilla - Atlético Baleares	1:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.11.19	Atlético Baleares - Real Madrid Castilla	1:1

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