Match Info

Promotion League

Date: 24 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Esp Stadium (Fislisbach)


	Baden		Bulle

	1	X	2
	1.98	3.5	3
	1.99	3.6	3.15
	2	3.44	3.15
	2.04	3.78	3.21
	1.98	3.62	3.15
	1.99	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (2)	3.59 ↓ (3.68)	3.14 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Baden
45.6%

Draw
25.4%

Bulle
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

25%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

24.1%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Baden has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

The chances for Bulle have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baden than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bulle than the current prediction. (-1%)

Baden - Bulle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mazzeo M. (G) 2. Kunz S. 5. Monney T. 3. Isufi E. 13. Iodice K. 7. Romano D. (C) 8. Rodriguez F. 12. Holcbecher M. 16. Kalt J. 19. Zivkovic N. 25. Haile-Selassie K.	1. Ropraz K. (G) 23. Delley L. 22. Kuzmanovic M. 17. Malula K. (C) 25. Rexhaj E. 7. Berger N. 24. Makoube A. 5. Mulliqi B. 19. Petignat E. 14. Aguilar J. 11. Chaibi M. I.
Substitutes
18. Abubakar K. (G) 14. Brack J. 4. Fazlic E. 6. Kasongo S. 28. Lewis O. 26. Rhein D. 22. Solimando F.	15. Gasser B. 6. Guerin A. 13. Mvele K. 4. Onkony B. 9. Pinga A. 99. Zbinden L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
27', 0 - 1, Berger N. ⚽,
32', 1 - 1, Rodriguez F. ⚽,
37', Petignat E. 🟨,
40', Rodriguez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Iodice K. ↓, Lewis O. ↑,
49', Monney T. 🟨,
60', Zivkovic N. 🟨,
62', Kalt J. ↓, Kasongo S. ↑,
67', Mulliqi B. ↓, Mvele K. ↑,
70', Zivkovic N. ↓, Brack J. ↑,
70', Haile-Selassie K. ↓, Rhein D. ↑,
74', Holcbecher M. 🟨,
77', Makoube A. ↓, Onkony B. ↑,
77', Petignat E. ↓, Pinga A. ↑,
86', Delley L. ↓, Gasser B. ↑,
90', Gasser B. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 and 11).

Baden has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Bulle is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Baden has had a series of away games.

Baden might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Baden won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 1.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Baden won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Baden
Swiss Promotion League
17.05.25	Vevey - Baden	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Baden - Delémont	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	Paradiso - Baden	1:0 ✺
26.04.25	Basel II - Baden	0:0 ✺
19.04.25	Bavois - Baden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWLTT
- Bulle
Swiss Promotion League
17.05.25	Bulle - Lugano II	0:2 ✺
10.05.25	Young Boys II - Bulle	1:1 ✺
04.05.25	Bulle - Kriens	2:3 ✺
27.04.25	Bulle - Vevey	2:2 ✺
19.04.25	Delémont - Bulle	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Swiss Promotion League
17.11.24	Bulle - Baden	2:1
19.04.23	Bulle - Baden	0:2
15.10.22	Baden - Bulle	2:0

Baden - Bulle: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide