Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP D - ROUND 27

Date: 12 February 2023, Sunday


	Bagnolese		Pistoiese

	1	X	2
	3.5	3	1.95
	3.5	3	2.05
	3.52	2.98	2.03
	4.33	3.5	1.7
	3.54	3.18	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↓ (4.45)	3.13 ↓ (3.27)	1.94 ↑ (1.69)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bagnolese
24.6%

Draw
28.9%

Pistoiese
46.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20%

27.3%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.1%

27.2%

52.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bagnolese has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Pistoiese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pistoiese might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bagnolese than the current prediction. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pistoiese than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pistoiese could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Bagnolese - Pistoiese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group D (Play Out) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group D (Play Offs)).

Bagnolese is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Pistoiese is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Pistoiese will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bagnolese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- GS Bagnolese
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.02.23	Forlì - Bagnolese	2:1 ✺
05.02.23	Bagnolese - AC Carpi	0:0 ✺
29.01.23	Salsomaggiore - Bagnolese	0:2 ✺
25.01.23	Bagnolese - Mezzolara	2:0 ✺
21.01.23	Sammaurese - Bagnolese	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 LTWWW
- US Pistoiese 1921
Italian Serie D - Group D
08.02.23	Pistoiese - Prato	2:0 ✺
05.02.23	Real Forte Querceta - Pistoiese	2:1 ✺
29.01.23	Pistoiese - Giana Erminio	1:1 ✺
25.01.23	Pistoiese - SantAngelo	2:2 ✺
22.01.23	Crema - Pistoiese	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group D
09.10.22	Pistoiese - Bagnolese	0:0

Bagnolese - Pistoiese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide